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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 March 20
IMPORTANCE OF MASTER'S CARGO CHECKS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Adecision in recent High Court case has made it clear that there is no implied indemnity from a charterer to their counte ...
Tuesday, 03 March 20
COAL'S SHARE OF CHINA ENERGY MIX FALLS IN 2019 BUT CONSUMPTION STILL RISING - REUTERS
Coal accounted for 57.7% of China’s primary energy consumption in 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday, down 1.5 percentage ...
Monday, 02 March 20
SHIPOWNERS AND OPERATORS COULD FACE DETENTION OF SHIPS FROM 1ST MARCH UNDER IMO RULE - ICS
Port state control authorities will begin to enforce the IMO’s Sulphur 2020 from 1st March, making it an offense for ships to carry fuel that ...
Saturday, 29 February 20
SUPRAMAX SENTIMENT WAS UP IN A FEW KEY AREAS OVER THE LAST WEEK - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market woes related to Coronavirus have now spread through the wider global markets like wildfire. The wider supply and d ...
Thursday, 27 February 20
FOREIGN COMPANIES LIKELY TO SKIP COMMERCIAL COAL BLOCK AUCTIONS - ECONOMIC TIMES
The Centre is in the process of inviting global players for commercial mining, following 100% foreign direct investment in the sector. However, giv ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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