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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 March 20
COLOMBIAN COAL OUTPUT FELL 2% IN 2019 - REUTERS
Coal production in Colombia, the fifth-largest coal exporter in the world, fell 2% to 82.2 million tonnes in 2019 after output at one of the princi ...
Friday, 06 March 20
SOLID BACKING FOR LNG AS A MARINE FUEL - BALTIC EXCHANGE
When it comes to choosing the best fuel on the near horizon to help the international shipping industry shrink its carbon intensity by 2050, DNV GL ...
Friday, 06 March 20
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AGAIN THIS MONTH
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
PANAMAX: SHIP-OWNERS HAVE MOSTLY BEEN GETTING HIGHER RATES THAN THE LAST DONE - FEARNLEYS
Cape
There is still limited amount of positive news around, with the effects of Corona virus hurting world economy. However, overall average in ...
Thursday, 05 March 20
COAL IMPORTS DOWN IN MAJOR ASIAN MARKETS, AND CORONAVIRUS NOT THE DRIVING FORCE - CLYDE RUSSELL
Asia’s seaborne coal markets stumbled in February and it appears the coronavirus outbreak in China may dodge most of the blame, with the weak ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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