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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.07 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points Monday, up 0.07 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 11 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 4th of September the Baltic Dry Index marked its highest level for 2019, reaching 2,518 points, while the rest of the dry indices also recor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS
It might be already overstated, but it seems to be important to point out once again how peculiar the current circumstances are.
Before the st ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
EIA FORECASTS U.S ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR DEMAND FOR COAL WILL FALL BY 81 MMST (15%) IN 2020
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019. According to EIA's Shor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: DEMAND DOWNGRADES FOR BULK COMMODITIES - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus outbreak is a rapidly evolving news story – and a real wildcard for bulks demand. Our global experts are monitoring the impac ...
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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