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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 07 June 19
KOEN INVITED BIDS FOR 1.87 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR JULY - OCTOBER 2019 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 1,700,000 to 1,870,000 Metric Tons ...
Wednesday, 05 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first semester of 2019 started as a fairly positive semester for the offshore sector whilst there was a recovery on crude prices, as well as a ...
Tuesday, 04 June 19
MARPOL ANNEX VI - SULPHUR CAP 2020 - DEMYSTIFYING THE FONAR - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Fuel Oil Non-Availability Report (FONAR) is primarily a discretionary tool for a Member State to lessen the breach of MAR ...
Monday, 03 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 TONNER OPEN NORTH CHINA, FIXING A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY SOUTHEAST ASIA AT $7,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market continued its steady ascent over the past week to improved levels. The TC average opened the previous week at $12,243 and c ...
Wednesday, 29 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Reflecting on the first quarter of 2019, the product tanker market was healthy, with average earnings significantly up compared to the first quarte ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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