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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Saturday, 15 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 58,000-TONNER, OPEN QINGDAO, WAS BOOKED TO REDELIVER IN EAST COAST INDIA AT $6,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market closed on a quiet Friday last week after a few hectic days of mid-week trading. Trade routes from Brazil to the Far East we ...
Friday, 14 June 19
PANAMAX: OUTLOOK IS MIXED - FERNLEYS
Capesize
Sentiment changed to a more nervous tone as pacific cargo volumes failed to deliver as expected, however latest activity indicates res ...
Friday, 14 June 19
ELECTRONIC (PAPERLESS) TRADING - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Electronic Shipping Solutions: Bolero International Ltd, E-Title Authority Pte Ltd, Global Share S.A. (edoxOnline platfor ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 140,000 MT OF 4,600 NCV COAL FOR SEP. 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 140,000 MT of minimum 4,600 kcal/kg NCV coal ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
IMO 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO 1 JANUARY 2020 -HOW WILL THE CHANGES AFFECT REFINING AND SHIPPING? - WOOD MACKENZIE
We know that the IMO’s regulations represent the biggest step change the shipping industry has ever seen and the implications will be felt th ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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