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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Saturday, 20 June 20
NO ESCAPING GLOBAL TRADE SLUMP - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Those hoping for a decent recovery in trade in the second half of the year should prepare for disappointment.
New data from the Unit ...
Friday, 19 June 20
INDIA'S COAL CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN 2019 SLOWEST SINCE 2001: BP STATS REVIEW - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Growth in global energy markets slowed in 2019 in line with weaker economic growth, according to the bp Statistical Review of World Energy 2020. Th ...
Friday, 19 June 20
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 1,050,000 MT OF MIN 5300 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korera Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1,050k MT Min.5,300 kcal/kg NCV coal for t ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: GOVT'S PLAN TO CUT COAL IMPORT GOES FOR A TOSS AS FY20 BREAKS LOGISTICS CHAIN; LOCAL OUTPUT STAGNANT - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Weak logistics support and disrupted supply chain towards the end of the last financial year 2019-20 hit the government’s plan to cut coal im ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS TO OPERATE BELOW 53% CAPACITY IN FY21 AS POWER DEMAND DIPS - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Plant Load Factor (PLF) of thermal power stations across the country is projected to dip below 53 per cent in this fiscal. Muted power demand f ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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