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Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL

As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third quarter and will probably prove right those market specialists that predicted that tanker rates would be soaring coming into 2020 with the “IMO effect” ready to kick in.
The million dollar question is if this firm market recovery (both in asset prices as well as freight rates) is the beginning of a new cycle. What definitely helped boost earnings was the recent sanctions imposed by the USA to the Chinese Cosco tanker fleet that abruptly removed a significant amount of ships from the market and inevitably pushed the market to the recent highs. COSCO Dalian and its subsidiaries own 43 oil tankers, including 26 very large crude carriers (VLCCs) which consist over 3% of the VLCC fleet.
Despite the sanctions, the fundamental drive in this increase is still the coming IMO regulations that as many analysts predicted triggered an incremental move of cargoes from the desulphurization units towards major bunkering areas. Opportunities for profit were also created for traders finding market imbalances deriving from the shock of new regulations and the need to create a “new” mainstream fuel. It therefore seems that what we have been witnessing is not just a short lived spike but the start of the “IMO story”, which will be in full effect the first half of 2020.
On the Dry market, the BDI has been extremely volatile throughout the year, shifting sentiment several times as a result. The year kicked in with a steep decline amidst fears of the US-China trade talks, the Vale dam disaster and seasonal Chinese New Year celebrations declines.
Most feared 2019 could be a repeat of the lows observed back in 2016, while during Q1 we observed an SNP drought with only 103 bulk carriers changing hands. However, during the second quarter the market stabilized and increased steadily along with the feeling that the worst part of the year was already over and hopes for a rebound came along, with SNP transactions increasing to 137. The third quarter was overwhelming; freight rates increased rapidly and helped most companies return to the black, while more ships changed hands and transactions totaled 166. So when the last quarter begun, sentiment was firm and freights were high, while the majority of the industry was prepared for a very strong finish to the year.
To the surprise of most, the positive sentiment that prevailed during the past summer is currently questioned by the performance of the BDI and uncertainty over the new regulations has become a growing concern for dry bulk owners. Consequently, one would expect transactions to decline. However, SNP activity remained strong, with more than 85 transactions already confirmed half way into this quarter, while the majority of them was concluded to Greek owners, which itself constitutes a vote of confidence on an imminent rebound of the market sooner rather than later.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 November 19
LIFE AFTER FOSSIL FUELS: THE DAYS OF OIL AND COAL TRANSPORTATION ARE NUMBERED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
With the world fiercely focused on a decarbonised future, fossil fuel movers and traders might rightly be reconsidering their future. But cast a wi ...
Saturday, 16 November 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: PAUSING TO REFLECT - IEA
Global oil demand in 3Q19 increased by 1.1 mb/d year-on-year (y-o-y), more than double the 435 kb/d seen in 2Q19. China’s demand increased by ...
Friday, 15 November 19
RISING ENERGY DEMAND IN SOUTHEAST ASIA TO BE MET AND SUPPORTED BY COAL - WORLD COAL
Last week the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its semi-annual Southeast Asia Energy Outlook report which outlines the latest insights in ...
Thursday, 14 November 19
EIA EXPECTS U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TO FACE INCREASING COMPETITION FROM EASTERN EUROPEAN SOURCES
EIA expects total U.S. coal production in 2019 to total 698 million short tons (MMst), an 8% decrease from the 2018 level of 756 MMst. The decline ...
Wednesday, 13 November 19
INDONESIAN NOVEMBER COAL PRICE REFERENCE LOGS FIRST GAIN SINCE AUGUST
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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