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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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Showing 1471 to 1475 news of total 6871 |
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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