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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 08 April 19
SULPHUR 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO THE SWITCHOVER - LLOYD'S REGISTER
Sulphur 2020 (MARPOL Annex VI Reg. 14.1.3) is still dominating headlines and as we draw closer to the 1 January 2020 deadline it’s clear that ...
Monday, 08 April 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PRICE PLUMMETS TO LOW NOT SEEN SINCE AUGUST 2017
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
SHIP PASSAGE PLANS - NO ROOM FOR ERROR! - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The English High Court’s judgment in Alize 1954 v Allianz Elementar Versicherungs AG (The CMA CGM Libra) is an impo ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
IMO 2020: READY OR NOT? - WOOD MACKENZIE
New Year’s Day 2020 is firmly marked in the calendar as the refining and shipping industries prepare for change.
The International Marit ...
Saturday, 06 April 19
AUSTRALIA COAL POSTS BIGGEST WEEKLY DROP IN A DECADE AMID WEAK DEMAND - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices this week registered their biggest weekly fall since the financial market turmoil of a decade ago as demand plunged ...
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Showing 1431 to 1435 news of total 6871 |
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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