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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Saturday, 15 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 58,000-TONNER, OPEN QINGDAO, WAS BOOKED TO REDELIVER IN EAST COAST INDIA AT $6,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market closed on a quiet Friday last week after a few hectic days of mid-week trading. Trade routes from Brazil to the Far East we ...
Friday, 14 June 19
PANAMAX: OUTLOOK IS MIXED - FERNLEYS
Capesize
Sentiment changed to a more nervous tone as pacific cargo volumes failed to deliver as expected, however latest activity indicates res ...
Friday, 14 June 19
ELECTRONIC (PAPERLESS) TRADING - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Electronic Shipping Solutions: Bolero International Ltd, E-Title Authority Pte Ltd, Global Share S.A. (edoxOnline platfor ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 140,000 MT OF 4,600 NCV COAL FOR SEP. 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 140,000 MT of minimum 4,600 kcal/kg NCV coal ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
IMO 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO 1 JANUARY 2020 -HOW WILL THE CHANGES AFFECT REFINING AND SHIPPING? - WOOD MACKENZIE
We know that the IMO’s regulations represent the biggest step change the shipping industry has ever seen and the implications will be felt th ...
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Showing 1381 to 1385 news of total 6871 |
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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