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Monday, 14 October 19
WINTER OIL MARKET OUTLOOK - OPEC
 Product markets in the last two months have benefitted from seasonal maintenance which have led to a tighter product market environment, providing some support to product crack spreads and refining margins. With most refineries now back online in all main regions, refinery intakes have risen steadily, to stand some 1.0 mb/d higher in September compared to the same month last year.
As a result of new refining capacity over the last year, refinery runs during winter are likely to reach new record highs, leading to potentially higher supply in the product markets. At the same time, economic headwinds pointing to a slowdown in manufacturing in the OECD may result in a possible decline in consumption of heavier fuels, weighing on the outlook for product markets over the winter season, while increased competition from ethane and LPG may also bite into demand for products including naphtha and transport fuels. In the US, gasoil consumption is expected to receive support from the manufacturing, construction and freight sectors.
Moreover, a seasonal pick up in heating oil demand this winter is expected, despite increasing substitution by natural gas. Jet fuel markets should also remain supported by an uptick in travel activities, particularly in the holiday season. In contrast, the seasonal decline in gasoline demand in the winter months will once again weigh on prices and ultimately refining economics (Graph 1). This may result in higher gasoline exports in 4Q19 to prevent strong inventory builds and to keep gasoline prices stable. Naphtha crack spreads will also come under pressure and suffer losses as strong LPG output, and lower LPG prices in the US continues to compete with naphtha.
US oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change In Europe, the slowdown in transportation fuel demand will continue representing a challenge to product markets. Despite a slight pick-up in gasoline consumption in 1H19, mainly in France, unfavourable economic fundamentals have dampened demand in Germany. Moreover, a mild pick up in gasoline powered vehicle sales observed in France, Italy and Spain has been offset by a decline in overall car sales. The pressure in Europe’s product markets could be further exacerbated by new cracking and other upgrading projects in Russia and Belarus, which is projected to increase regional transport fuel production by the end of 2019.
Furthermore, data reflects a declining trend in product demand in the fourth quarter, particularly for naphtha and residual fuel. In Asia, gasoil markets will remain supported by industrial and transportation demand. However, product balances will most likely soften compared with the previous year, once all refineries restore their operation activities in 4Q19, resulting in excess product supply, particularly for gasoline. Concerning the IMO 2020, a combination of declining heavy crude availability, increased refinery conversion capacity, growing appetite for heavy crude, and stricter sulphur limits on marine bunker fuel are likely to lead to rising prices for low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO). At the same time, the declining availability of high sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) could also hold up prices for that product to some degree.
Together with a mismatch in terms of quality between available and required crude slates for refinery intake, this could provide limited support to processing rates as refineries will have to resort to higher intakes to boost fuel oil or compliant marine fuel production. Graph 2: OECD Europe oil demand growth by main petroleum products, mb, y-o-y change Looking ahead, factors such as the onset of the winter season, healthy demand for middle distillates in Asia, and preparations for IMO should support middle-to-heavy product markets in the coming months. At the same time, uncertainties regarding the global economic outlook, declining car sales and fuel substitution programmes in Europe, and higher products supply from Asia could limit the upward trend in the product markets this winter.
Source: OPEC
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Friday, 18 October 19
SINGAPORE'S APEX TO LAUNCH LOW-SULFUR FUEL OIL CONTRACT AHEAD OF NEW SHIPPING RULES - REUTERS
Singapore-based Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) will launch a low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) futures contract on Friday aimed at helping shipping and ener ...
Thursday, 17 October 19
INDIA READIES POLICY TO ATTRACT FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN COAL MINING - REUTERS
India expects to have formulated a policy within the next two weeks to attract foreign investment to its coal mining industry, the country’s ...
Wednesday, 16 October 19
INDIA CALLS FOR A RESET OF CLIMATE DEBATE ON COAL AS A FUEL - LIVEMINT
India on Tuesday called for a reset on climate debate on coal as a fuel, in the backdrop of India becoming one of the top renewable energy producer ...
Wednesday, 16 October 19
LESSONS LEARNT FROM CREW INJURED IN HEAVY WEATHER - UK P&I CLUB COMMENTS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Stuart Edmonston, Loss Prevention at UK P&I Club, discusses an incident in which crew were injured whilst on deck in ...
Wednesday, 16 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
In perhaps the most interesting market conditions of the past years, the tanker and the dry bulk industry have created a positive sentiment with re ...
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Showing 1311 to 1315 news of total 6871 |
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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