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Wednesday, 15 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Modern warfare - Trade wars & sanctions
As of May 1st, the U.S. has ended waivers to the sanctions that had allowed the top buyers of Iranian oil to continue their imports. China is the world's No1 oil importer and a major buyer of Iranian Oil. The May 1 deadline coincided with the US trade representatives traveling to Beijing and while in April Trump was tweeting that whilst there are still differences, the two sides are closer to a trade deal; the move of eliminating the waivers could be linked to the trade talks and most probably even served as an irritant between Beijing and Washington. Making China's energy imports challenging and subject to U.S. Jurisdiction is not something that can be easily digested and its timing is rather unusual, in one of the supposed final rounds of trade negotiations.
So, right when everybody thought that the trade war might be winding down, the trade frictions have suddenly worsened last week when Trump vented about China renegotiating agreed positions, and announced a 25% tariff on $200b worth of Chinese products. Additionally the US administration said it will impose 25% tariff on all remaining imports from China, $300b, or so.
China has retaliated by announcing that they will increase the tariffs on about $60b in U.S. exports, including hundreds of agricultural, mining, and manufactured products, threatening jobs and profits at companies in and around the United States. The Chinese tariffs of 25% will fall mostly on products that China has a surplus or self-reliance, such as steel, chemicals or textiles while goods that they don't produce will be taxed with 5%.
China depends on the U.S. mostly for high-end products, such as electronics, machinery, precision equipment, aircraft and parts, vehicles and parts, and oil and gas and the Chinese government looks like they have handpicked the goods where the tax will be increased to 25%. One U.S. industry that will be heavily affected is the LNG exports which will face a 25% tariff. LNG shipping firms have also seen their share prices dip. While China, who is already the second largest importer of LNG, will increase their LNG imports by 50% by 2025, the price will be the most decisive factors for the amount and origin of imports. This will only become more important with the startup of the gas pipeline between China and Russia. President Trump knows that and has pushed China to sign deals to import LNG.
The next few weeks will be critical. The worst case - no deal – scenario, or even if coming to an agreement gets anywhere close to 2020, will be a game changer. Tariffs on all trades between US and China plus other administrative actions will lead to a slowdown in investment, rising costs and business uncertainty that will probably lead in a recession in the US and given the weakness in the European economy, Europe would suffer as well with the negative effects spreading across other economies eventually.
On the other hand, negotiations have come a long way. President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping will attend the G20 meetings in Osaka at the end of June, so there is hope that the two sides will make amends by then. The challenges to a trade deal would probably grow if the two administrations can’t reach an agreement, so most probably things will get worse before they get better.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 07 May 18
SOUTH KOREA STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOREA MIDLAND POWER ISSUED A TENDER FOR 1 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 mt of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origi ...
Monday, 07 May 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND ROSE ABOUT 1% IN 2017; ASIA ACCOUNTED FOR THE LARGEST INCREASE IN COAL DEMAND, UP 35 MTOE RELATIVE TO 2016 - IEA
Global coal demand rose about 1% in 2017, reversing the declining trend seen over the last two years. This growth was mainly due to demand in Asia, ...
Friday, 04 May 18
ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES WAS SECOND ONLY TO COAL IN 2017 - IEA
World electricity demand increased by 3.1 %, significantly higher than the overall increase in energy demand. Together, China and India accounted f ...
Thursday, 03 May 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO - CHINA COAL ROUNDS ARE PAYING IN THE LOW-MID $12000 BSS SINGAPORE DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
As expected a slow and uneventful start to the week with holidays in many countries, however by mid-week some fresh requirements and pos ...
Tuesday, 01 May 18
SUPRAMAX: COAL RUNS, A 61,000-DWT WAS FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SURABAYA, FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY INDIA AT $15,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Rates eased in the East, as the week closed out with the momentum slowing. Levels on the key West Australia/China run dropped to $7.25 ...
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Showing 1726 to 1730 news of total 6871 |
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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