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Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
 The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings says. Higher fuel costs and sulphur regulation will also put pressure on shippers. Partly offsetting an unfavourable environment are emerging signs of better capacity management by shipping companies, which is key to a sustainable balance and freight rates that support consistent profitability. We expect better fundamentals in container and dry bulk, while capacity growth will weigh on tankers. The key risk to shipping is an escalation of protectionist measures that would damage global trade and GDP growth.
Free global trade is vital for shipping development – about 80% of world trade in goods is carried by ships. More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase operating costs and capex requirements in all shipping segments. This may negatively affect financials unless shippers pass these costs to customers. However, the product tanker market may benefit from these regulations as seaborne trade of low sulphur fuel is likely to increase as a result.
We expect healthy, albeit slower volume growth, in 2019 in container shipping. But supply and demand should be more balanced as fewer new vessels come onto the market. This should provide support to freight rates. Container shipping has become more consolidated with top five players accounting for 63% of the market in 2018 compared to only 31% in 2000, which is beginning to help with coordinated capacity deployment.
We expect freight rates in dry bulk to remain flat on average in 2019 based on balanced volumes and net fleet growth of about 3%. Any escalation of global trade conflicts, especially between the US and China, could affect cargo flows, especially for grains and minor bulk. However, we see the risk of a material reduction of overall demand and rates to be low. This is because commodity trade flows are likely to shift, rather than stop. For example, Chinese tariffs on US grain imports caused an increase in South American exports to China, while US soybeans have been directed to European and Middle Eastern markets.
Potential overcapacity weighs on the tanker sector. We forecast net tanker capacity to grow at about 3%, up from about 1.5% in 2018. The sector may face downside risks from oil demand and supply. US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts global oil consumption in 2019 to rise 1.4%, down slightly from a 1.5% increase in 2018. The impact of US sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports as well as OPEC’s decision on production volumes in December meeting are likely to affect oil supply and, as a result, demand for tankers
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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