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Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
 Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil prices over the past couple of months. With Iranian oil out of the picture for many of the main importers, Saudi Arabia and the rest of the OPEC countries have already started to gradually increase their output to cover the demand gap, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping.
However, he further noted that, these plans were disrupted by a footnote in these most recent sanctions, which stated that several countries (including China, India and Japan) are allowed to continue importing oil from Teheran for a limited time period, but without any specified limitation in the imported volume. It is worth mentioning that China is the biggest importer of Iranian oil. This would essentially leave Iranian production levels to approximately 1.1 million bpd in November and to even higher figures in December. In addition to this, competition from other countries has intensified. Russia has raised its output during the previous months (11.41 million bpd in October), and with further growth being planned for 2019. At the same time, US production is expected to reach to 10.7 million bpd by the end of the year and is set to increase by another 250,000 bpd in 2019. As a result, Brent oil prices, which had reached a four-year high of $86 a barrel in October based on tight supply concerns, have slid back down to $67 now, losing around 21% within a month.
Allied weekly research report further said, with a supply glut on the horizon, Saudi Arabia is now considering proceeding, together with the rest of OPEC members, to an output cut of about 1.4 million bpd, even though Washington asserts that the provision of waivers is a temporary measure. Another interesting aspect of the Iranian sanctions is the possible decision by Teheran to maintain production numbers at high levels, even after the waiver program expires, and use some of the domestic VLCC fleet as floating storage. With a considerable portion of the Iranian tanker fleet out of the picture, market participants can expect a positive impact on the demand for the rest of global tanker fleet despite reports that there are already around 14 inactive Iranian VLCCs.
Moreover, Yiannis Vamvakas said, it is worth mentioning that the average haul should increase, adding further support for freight rates. China will turn its focus to other oil sources with West Africa and Brazil being most likely candidates, increasing the average ton-mile demand significantly. Other Far Eastern countries that are currently under the US waiver program will also change their import business partners with the US being an additional option. However, here we should mention that despite the continuing dredging that takes place in the US Gulf ports, fully loaded VLCCs are still unable to call the majority of ports there.
Freight rates in the crude oil market have already picked up over the past couple of weeks, with the Iranian sanctions being an important factor. Beyond this however, with the northern hemisphere enter into its winter period, the seasonal increases in oil demand that typically take place have also played a significant role in this most recent rally. The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) announced in their latest monthly report that its forecast for global demand growth for 2018 and 2019 have remained unchanged from last month. With some volatility being anticipated due to uncertainty in the oil market, market participants are expecting the positive sentiment to continue for the rest of 2018, as well as the first quarter of 2019. However, with the rate of deliveries expected to be seen within 2019 this current upward momentum trend may well end up being curbed significantly in the long run.
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Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state o ...
Monday, 26 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STALLED THIS WEEK WITH A BUILD-UP OF TONNAGE - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was a positive end to the week, with West Australia/China making significant gains and firing owners’ resolve. There was talk ...
Friday, 23 November 18
GOLDEN ENERGY'S POTENTIAL ACQUISITION OF STANMORE CREDIT POSITIVE - FITCH RATINGS
Golden Energy and Resources Limited's (GEAR, B+/Positive) potential acquisition of Stanmore Coal will help the company diversify its coal opera ...
Friday, 23 November 18
ASSOCIATION CALLS FOR REVISION OF DMO SCHEME FOR COAL - JP
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) has called on the government to revise the domestic market obligation (DMO) scheme for coal, which re ...
Friday, 23 November 18
INDONESIA'S REVENUES FROM MINERAL AND COAL INCREASE TO US$ 2.858 BILLION - ANTARA
Indonesia`s non-tax state revenues from the mineral and coal sub-sector reached Rp 41.77 trillion (approximately US$ 2.858 Billion) as of Nov 16, 2 ...
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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