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Monday, 17 September 18
SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE WORLD FLEET WILL FIT SCRUBBERS - FORECASTS : METTE KRONHOLM FRAENDE
 In recent months, there have been numerous reports of a strong pick-up in demand for scrubbers. On 1 January 2020, however, the number of ships fitted with scrubbers will represent only a tiny percentage of the world fleet, according to forecasts.
There are many estimates of how many ships will be fitted with scrubbers – as opposed to how many will opt for compliant, low-sulphur fuel – as the shipping, port and bunker industries anticipate the new sulphur cap regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO).
Scrubbers – the least-preferred option
Demand for scrubbers has increased strongly, and some charterers have started to demand that scrubbers be fitted on chartered ships, according to James Forsdyke, Hong Kong and Taiwan Area Manager for Marine and Offshore at independent risk-management organisation and classification society Lloyd’s Register.
But according to Lloyd’s Register, scrubbers will be the least-preferred option for shipowners to comply with the 2020 sulphur cap regulation.
“With 18 months to go, no matter the speed of uptake of scrubbers, it is a physical impossibility that it is going to be the main solution of the global trading fleet,” Forsdyke says.
“If every single dry dock fills up with ships now, and starts fitting scrubbers non-stop until 2020, the net result is still going to be a very small proportion. The people who have chosen scrubbers will be a minority on 1 January 2020,“ he adds.
Pick-up will not change fundamentals
Of about 90,000 ships currently classified as active in the world fleet, around 50,000-60,000 are internationally trading and fall under the new sulphur regulation. Recent figures (on 21 June) from Clarkson, the world’s largest shipbroking and integrated shipping services provider, estimate that just short of 600 scrubbers are currently installed. According to Forsdyke, an optimistic estimate would suggest that a maximum of 3,000 scrubbers will be installed by 2020.
“I think demand will continue to go up, but not enough to change the fundamentals of how the majority of the world fleet will choose to comply,” Forsdyke says.
Morgan Stanley: Soft scrubber uptake, despite attractive payback period
In a recent research report from US investment bank Morgan Stanley, scrubber uptake has been softer than expected, even with increasingly attractive payback periods on the investment.
“With the exception of cruise liners, which make up about 3% of bunker fuel demand, shippers have overwhelmingly expressed a preference for compliant fuels over installing scrubbers,” says Martijn Rats, Equity Analyst at Morgan Stanley.
“At current spot spreads, payback periods for scrubbers look very attractive and should fall further if prices move as we expect. But at a cost of up to $5 million per ship, installing a scrubber can be prohibitively expensive for an industry that has seen challenging financial conditions for several years and is facing additional costs associated with the IMO’s ballast water treatment rules,” Rats says.
The research report points to an estimate from marine and energy technology group Wartsila, which forecasts it will only be possible to install 2,000-3,000 scrubbers by the January 2020 deadline. Morgan Stanley’s Capital Goods team expect just 1,200 scrubbers to be installed by 2020, out of a fleet of 60,000 ships (commercial fleet), although the payback period on a scrubber could move to less than one year in the future, the report says.
By Mette Kronholm Fraende, Communications Manager at BIMCO
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Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL OUTLOOK BULLISH DESPITE WEAK CHINESE IMPORT DATA - HEREN, ICIS
Coal prices may appreciate over the remainder of 2018 even despite recent data showing falling imports from the world’s largest producer and ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
TOBA BARA ACQUIRES SHARES OF PT BATU HITAM PERKASA
PT Toba Bara Sejahtra Tbk, through its subsidiary PT Toba Bara Energi (“TBE”), has acquired shares ...
Monday, 17 December 18
SUPRAMAX THERE WAS STRONGER DEMAND FROM SOUTHEAST ASIA, WITH MORE COAL BEING SHIPPED - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to last week after a somewhat uncertain start as some gains made were eroded. Rates recovered later for West Australia/ ...
Monday, 17 December 18
SOUTH KOREA STATE-OWNED UTILITY KOREA EAST-WEST POWER CO. LTD ISSUED A TENDER FOR MAX 3.220 MILLION TONS OF 4200 TO 5900 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd (EWP) issued a tender for max 3,220,000 Metric Tons of coal to be loade ...
Saturday, 15 December 18
COMING CHANGES IN MARINE FUEL SULFUR LIMITS WILL AFFECT GLOBAL OIL MARKETS - EIA
International regulations limiting sulfur in fuels for ocean-going vessels, set to take effect in January 2020, have implications for vessel operat ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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