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Monday, 17 September 18
SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE WORLD FLEET WILL FIT SCRUBBERS - FORECASTS : METTE KRONHOLM FRAENDE
 In recent months, there have been numerous reports of a strong pick-up in demand for scrubbers. On 1 January 2020, however, the number of ships fitted with scrubbers will represent only a tiny percentage of the world fleet, according to forecasts.
There are many estimates of how many ships will be fitted with scrubbers – as opposed to how many will opt for compliant, low-sulphur fuel – as the shipping, port and bunker industries anticipate the new sulphur cap regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO).
Scrubbers – the least-preferred option
Demand for scrubbers has increased strongly, and some charterers have started to demand that scrubbers be fitted on chartered ships, according to James Forsdyke, Hong Kong and Taiwan Area Manager for Marine and Offshore at independent risk-management organisation and classification society Lloyd’s Register.
But according to Lloyd’s Register, scrubbers will be the least-preferred option for shipowners to comply with the 2020 sulphur cap regulation.
“With 18 months to go, no matter the speed of uptake of scrubbers, it is a physical impossibility that it is going to be the main solution of the global trading fleet,” Forsdyke says.
“If every single dry dock fills up with ships now, and starts fitting scrubbers non-stop until 2020, the net result is still going to be a very small proportion. The people who have chosen scrubbers will be a minority on 1 January 2020,“ he adds.
Pick-up will not change fundamentals
Of about 90,000 ships currently classified as active in the world fleet, around 50,000-60,000 are internationally trading and fall under the new sulphur regulation. Recent figures (on 21 June) from Clarkson, the world’s largest shipbroking and integrated shipping services provider, estimate that just short of 600 scrubbers are currently installed. According to Forsdyke, an optimistic estimate would suggest that a maximum of 3,000 scrubbers will be installed by 2020.
“I think demand will continue to go up, but not enough to change the fundamentals of how the majority of the world fleet will choose to comply,” Forsdyke says.
Morgan Stanley: Soft scrubber uptake, despite attractive payback period
In a recent research report from US investment bank Morgan Stanley, scrubber uptake has been softer than expected, even with increasingly attractive payback periods on the investment.
“With the exception of cruise liners, which make up about 3% of bunker fuel demand, shippers have overwhelmingly expressed a preference for compliant fuels over installing scrubbers,” says Martijn Rats, Equity Analyst at Morgan Stanley.
“At current spot spreads, payback periods for scrubbers look very attractive and should fall further if prices move as we expect. But at a cost of up to $5 million per ship, installing a scrubber can be prohibitively expensive for an industry that has seen challenging financial conditions for several years and is facing additional costs associated with the IMO’s ballast water treatment rules,” Rats says.
The research report points to an estimate from marine and energy technology group Wartsila, which forecasts it will only be possible to install 2,000-3,000 scrubbers by the January 2020 deadline. Morgan Stanley’s Capital Goods team expect just 1,200 scrubbers to be installed by 2020, out of a fleet of 60,000 ships (commercial fleet), although the payback period on a scrubber could move to less than one year in the future, the report says.
By Mette Kronholm Fraende, Communications Manager at BIMCO
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of& ...
Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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