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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 31 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Days before the celebrations of the Lunar New Year, the dry bulk market seems to be holding well, against negative predictions. Period numbers repo ...
Monday, 29 January 18
BALTIC INDEX GAINS ON STRONGER BIG VESSEL ACTIVITY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week and ending on a positive note week ov ...
Monday, 29 January 18
U.S.WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 8.7% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.6 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 24 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Since the beginning of the New Year we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards, which nonetheless seems to have no effect at ...
Tuesday, 23 January 18
OIL MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Brent oil futures hit a three year high on January 16th touching around USD 70.30 before falling back down to around USD 68.60 at the Time of this ...
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Showing 1821 to 1825 news of total 6871 |
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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