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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 10 February 18
OIL PRICE USD 100/BARREL BY END OF 2018! - SAROJ MOHAPATRA
All demand supplies calculations are going wrong in oil market at present. US production is increasing at a good pace and set to topple Saudi comfo ...
Friday, 09 February 18
COAL BUYERS SPOOKED BY INDONESIA'S NEW SHIPPING RULES - ASSOC
Buyers of Indonesian coal are holding back orders of the fuel after the government issued new shipping rules for coal and crude palm oil that would ...
Thursday, 08 February 18
ENHANCED PRODUCTION BY COAL INDIA LIMITED HELPS DECLINE IN COAL IMPORTS - UNION MINISTER OF RAILWAYS AND COAL
According to press release from PIB, as per the current import policy, coal is kept under Open General License (OGL) and consumers are free to impo ...
Thursday, 08 February 18
A NEW WEEK WITH A SOFT SENTIMENT AND DECREASING RATES IN BOTH HEMISPHERE FOR THE PANAMAXES, SAYS FEARNLEYS
Supramax
USG dropping remarkably due to lack of fresh enquiry both for fhaul and bhaul, Supras were fixed from USG to Spore-Japan range now aroun ...
Wednesday, 07 February 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES TO HIT THIRTEEN-MONTH HIGH OF $100.69 A TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) rose 5.39 per cent in February 2018, the latest ministerial decree showed.
The benchma ...
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Showing 1811 to 1815 news of total 6871 |
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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