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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 10 February 18
OIL PRICE USD 100/BARREL BY END OF 2018! - SAROJ MOHAPATRA
All demand supplies calculations are going wrong in oil market at present. US production is increasing at a good pace and set to topple Saudi comfo ...
Friday, 09 February 18
COAL BUYERS SPOOKED BY INDONESIA'S NEW SHIPPING RULES - ASSOC
Buyers of Indonesian coal are holding back orders of the fuel after the government issued new shipping rules for coal and crude palm oil that would ...
Thursday, 08 February 18
ENHANCED PRODUCTION BY COAL INDIA LIMITED HELPS DECLINE IN COAL IMPORTS - UNION MINISTER OF RAILWAYS AND COAL
According to press release from PIB, as per the current import policy, coal is kept under Open General License (OGL) and consumers are free to impo ...
Thursday, 08 February 18
A NEW WEEK WITH A SOFT SENTIMENT AND DECREASING RATES IN BOTH HEMISPHERE FOR THE PANAMAXES, SAYS FEARNLEYS
Supramax
USG dropping remarkably due to lack of fresh enquiry both for fhaul and bhaul, Supras were fixed from USG to Spore-Japan range now aroun ...
Wednesday, 07 February 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES TO HIT THIRTEEN-MONTH HIGH OF $100.69 A TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) rose 5.39 per cent in February 2018, the latest ministerial decree showed.
The benchma ...
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Showing 1811 to 1815 news of total 6871 |
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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