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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 February 18
HISTORY REPEATING ITSELF? - IEA
This month’s OMR is abbreviated to allow time for us to complete our annual five-year outlook that will be published in our report Oil 2018 o ...
Wednesday, 14 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
The second month of the year is traditionally a particularly interesting one for the shipping industry as a whole and even more importantly for the ...
Monday, 12 February 18
PANAMAX: WITH LIMITED FRESH ENQUIRY IN ALL AREAS, SPOT MARKET RATES DRIFTED LOWER THROUGHOUT THE WEEK - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A switch to the Atlantic with rates firming as charterers seemed keen to fix and tonnage was tight, prompting a recovery in rates. Trans ...
Monday, 12 February 18
WORLDWIDE: 'DEMURRAGE CLAIMS' FOR THE PURPOSES OF DOCUMENTARY TIME BARS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 2 February 2018 the Commercial Court allowed an appeal from a decision of the Arbitration Tribunal in Lukoil Asia Paci ...
Saturday, 10 February 18
COAL INDIA ON PATH OF SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION GROWTH AND SUPPLY TO POWER AND NON POWER SECTOR - PIB
Supply of 371.8 MT of Coal to Power Sector and 103.1 MT Coal to Non-Power Sector Achieved in 2017-18 Till January,2018 Average Rake Loading To The ...
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Showing 1806 to 1810 news of total 6871 |
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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