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Wednesday, 17 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we are now well into the first month of 2018, the mood across the entire offshore industry undeniably remains rather positive following the oil price rally that has now brought the commodity at a three-year high, while the highest monthly average during the same period was achieved during December.
It is now a rather wide market expectation that prices will remain at satisfactory levels in the following months, with $60/barrel currently considered a strong resistance level prices won’t easily go below of. The driving forces of the oil price momentum have been the much publicized OPEC policy – and its most recent extension - the weakening of the USD and of course healthy global oil demand being sustained.
There are also of course those who are less optimistic out there. Their expectations call for a $10-15/barrel correction taking place in the next months, mainly arguing that supply and demand fundamentals do not really support the price the commodity has reached and that the levels of the past month in particular are rather unrealistic.
Oil prices have always been one of the most crucial factors influencing the course of the entire offshore industry and most specifically the offshore drilling activity/gas exploration industry, which in turn shape the fate of all offshore units ranging from oil rigs to PSV and AHTS.
After all, let us not forget that one of the main reasons that the main reason behind offshore units being laid up or sold for scrap or converted as of the end of 2014, was no other than the steady decline of oil prices back then, which eventually laid to the re-consideration and sometimes the cancellation of a number of drilling projects that were upcoming back then.
2017 was undeniably a better year for the offshore drilling market, with both day rates and utilization rates improving – marginally indeed but improving nonetheless. A number of SnP transactions were also recorded as far as oil rigs are concerned and several company acquisitions took place as well, with that of Songa Offshore being acquired by Transocean Ltd being one of the most important. Additionally, more than 60 oil rigs were scrapped or retired, which means that a bit of the oversupply weight has slowly started being lifted during the past months.
Despite the above mentioned improvements and activity, the reality is that the Deepwater drilling market is still dealing with oversupply, far from healthy day rates and a big lack of commitment on behalf of major oil companies as far as long term investment projects are concerned.
Therefore the question that comes to mind is what should we expect for this year. Most of the optimism at this stage is stimulated by South America and more specifically Brazil, where a number of Petrobras tender requests for rigs and offshore units are expected to take place this year, while not very far from Brazil, there are additional optimistic signs coming from countries like Argentina and Peru, where substantial drilling activity/number of projects are expected to come on line/take place in the following years.
Hopefully the above will bring further improvement in the market and lay the ground for truly healthy fundamentals in the next couple of years.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 December 16
STABLE OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL MINING IN 2017 : FITCH
Fitch Ratings' sector and rating outlooks for the global mining industry in 2017 are both stable, reflecting Fitch's view that prices have ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
CHINESE COAL DEMAND WOULD BE THE KEY FACTOR THAT INFLUENCE WORLD COAL PRICES IN 2017, POLL
“WHAT ARE THE KEY FACTORS THAT MAY INFLUENCE WORLD'S COAL PRICES IN 2017?”
The on-line opinion poll conducted by COALspot.com ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
PANAMAX: THE FIRM TENDENCY CONTINUES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Market remained firm - true mostly within Atlantic.
Star performer USG remained its title, where Supras reached around USD 21k ...
Wednesday, 07 December 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODOROS NTALAKOS
Looking back at my previous end-of-year insights, for the last seven years, in each and every one of them, I begin with something like “there ...
Wednesday, 07 December 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY 2% IN 2017 - EIA
U.S. Coal production in November 2016 was 70.7 million short tons (MMst), the third time this year monthly production exceeded 70 MMst, says EIA.
...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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