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Wednesday, 17 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we are now well into the first month of 2018, the mood across the entire offshore industry undeniably remains rather positive following the oil price rally that has now brought the commodity at a three-year high, while the highest monthly average during the same period was achieved during December.
It is now a rather wide market expectation that prices will remain at satisfactory levels in the following months, with $60/barrel currently considered a strong resistance level prices won’t easily go below of. The driving forces of the oil price momentum have been the much publicized OPEC policy – and its most recent extension - the weakening of the USD and of course healthy global oil demand being sustained.
There are also of course those who are less optimistic out there. Their expectations call for a $10-15/barrel correction taking place in the next months, mainly arguing that supply and demand fundamentals do not really support the price the commodity has reached and that the levels of the past month in particular are rather unrealistic.
Oil prices have always been one of the most crucial factors influencing the course of the entire offshore industry and most specifically the offshore drilling activity/gas exploration industry, which in turn shape the fate of all offshore units ranging from oil rigs to PSV and AHTS.
After all, let us not forget that one of the main reasons that the main reason behind offshore units being laid up or sold for scrap or converted as of the end of 2014, was no other than the steady decline of oil prices back then, which eventually laid to the re-consideration and sometimes the cancellation of a number of drilling projects that were upcoming back then.
2017 was undeniably a better year for the offshore drilling market, with both day rates and utilization rates improving – marginally indeed but improving nonetheless. A number of SnP transactions were also recorded as far as oil rigs are concerned and several company acquisitions took place as well, with that of Songa Offshore being acquired by Transocean Ltd being one of the most important. Additionally, more than 60 oil rigs were scrapped or retired, which means that a bit of the oversupply weight has slowly started being lifted during the past months.
Despite the above mentioned improvements and activity, the reality is that the Deepwater drilling market is still dealing with oversupply, far from healthy day rates and a big lack of commitment on behalf of major oil companies as far as long term investment projects are concerned.
Therefore the question that comes to mind is what should we expect for this year. Most of the optimism at this stage is stimulated by South America and more specifically Brazil, where a number of Petrobras tender requests for rigs and offshore units are expected to take place this year, while not very far from Brazil, there are additional optimistic signs coming from countries like Argentina and Peru, where substantial drilling activity/number of projects are expected to come on line/take place in the following years.
Hopefully the above will bring further improvement in the market and lay the ground for truly healthy fundamentals in the next couple of years.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had & ...
Monday, 05 December 16
INDIAN HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION AT LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2012, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to Commodore Research, the first eleven months of this year have seen India’s overall electricity production total approximately 1. ...
Monday, 05 December 16
THE DECEMBER 2016 HBA HITS TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE MAY 2012
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since May 2012. The government declared benchmark prices for Indo ...
Monday, 05 December 16
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX UP 5.98%; BALTIC CAPE INDEX FELL 2.52% W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rally slightly continues this past week and ending on a s ...
Sunday, 04 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 11.9% W/E 26 NOV; UP 1.4% Y/Y, EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.2 million short ton ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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