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Wednesday, 17 January 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we are now well into the first month of 2018, the mood across the entire offshore industry undeniably remains rather positive following the oil price rally that has now brought the commodity at a three-year high, while the highest monthly average during the same period was achieved during December.
It is now a rather wide market expectation that prices will remain at satisfactory levels in the following months, with $60/barrel currently considered a strong resistance level prices won’t easily go below of. The driving forces of the oil price momentum have been the much publicized OPEC policy – and its most recent extension - the weakening of the USD and of course healthy global oil demand being sustained.
There are also of course those who are less optimistic out there. Their expectations call for a $10-15/barrel correction taking place in the next months, mainly arguing that supply and demand fundamentals do not really support the price the commodity has reached and that the levels of the past month in particular are rather unrealistic.
Oil prices have always been one of the most crucial factors influencing the course of the entire offshore industry and most specifically the offshore drilling activity/gas exploration industry, which in turn shape the fate of all offshore units ranging from oil rigs to PSV and AHTS.
After all, let us not forget that one of the main reasons that the main reason behind offshore units being laid up or sold for scrap or converted as of the end of 2014, was no other than the steady decline of oil prices back then, which eventually laid to the re-consideration and sometimes the cancellation of a number of drilling projects that were upcoming back then.
2017 was undeniably a better year for the offshore drilling market, with both day rates and utilization rates improving – marginally indeed but improving nonetheless. A number of SnP transactions were also recorded as far as oil rigs are concerned and several company acquisitions took place as well, with that of Songa Offshore being acquired by Transocean Ltd being one of the most important. Additionally, more than 60 oil rigs were scrapped or retired, which means that a bit of the oversupply weight has slowly started being lifted during the past months.
Despite the above mentioned improvements and activity, the reality is that the Deepwater drilling market is still dealing with oversupply, far from healthy day rates and a big lack of commitment on behalf of major oil companies as far as long term investment projects are concerned.
Therefore the question that comes to mind is what should we expect for this year. Most of the optimism at this stage is stimulated by South America and more specifically Brazil, where a number of Petrobras tender requests for rigs and offshore units are expected to take place this year, while not very far from Brazil, there are additional optimistic signs coming from countries like Argentina and Peru, where substantial drilling activity/number of projects are expected to come on line/take place in the following years.
Hopefully the above will bring further improvement in the market and lay the ground for truly healthy fundamentals in the next couple of years.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 December 16
TURNAROUND IN CHINESE ECONOMY HAS INTENSIFIED RECENTLY, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to the most recent Weekly China Report published by Commodore Research, it has remained encouraging that the turnaround in China’s ...
Monday, 19 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DOWN 3.1% PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.8 million short ton ...
Monday, 19 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO SOFTEN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continually decline this past week and ending on a negati ...
Thursday, 15 December 16
SUPRAMAXES ARE ACHIEVING AROUND HIGH USD 7K FOR INDO/CHINA COAL ROUNDS - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Pacific has been relatively quiet this week, with some softening signs.
Supramaxes are achieving around high USD 7k for Indo/China ...
Wednesday, 14 December 16
INTERNATIONAL TRIBUNAL DISMISSED CHURCHILL MINING'S DAMAGES CLAIM AGAINST REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
The Directors of Churchill Mining plc advise that, the ICSID Tribunal (“Tribunal”) granted Indonesia’s application to dismiss the ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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