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Tuesday, 05 December 17
OIL PRICES HAVE GAINED SOME TRACTION THESE PAST FEW DAYS ON TALKS OF ANOTHER OPEC & RUSSIA PRODUCTION CUT EXTENSION - GERRY LATHROP
 Oil prices have gained some traction these past few days on talks of another OPEC (including non-OPEC Russia) production cut extension.
The current production cut schedule prior to OPECs meeting this past week, was supposed to last until March 2018, however it has come to light that it will now be extended until the end of 2018, in an attempt to prop up prices as many of OPEC’s members continue to feel strain from the low earnings generated by crude oil sales said Gerry Lathrop, Research Analyst at Allied shipping.
Gerry Lathrop further noted, what’s more is that Saudi Arabia, OPEC leading member, has to deal with ARAMCO’s planned IPO in 2018, which could greatly benefit from the higher crude oil prices. At the same time and in order for the Saudi Government to meet their government budget requirements and reduce their reliance on their cash reserves, are looking at a price target of around US$ 60 per barrel. This is contrary to Russia’s stance who would prefer oil prices to remain lower, and apparently would prefer a target of US$ 40 per barrel at the off chance that higher prices cause the US’s shale oil producers to head to the fields again. In addition to this, OPEC members Libya and Nigeria, who were previously exempt from production cuts, have now agreed to also cap production at their 2017 levels.
This of course can have a profound effect on the shipping side, where the mere talks of a production cut has oil traders rushing to their desks to close their next deal. In short, if oil prices start to show a trend of further price gains, oil traders and refiners will rush to book cargoes, so they can price their end products on competitive level and possibly benefit from a better profit margin, increasing demand in the crude market in the very short-term. In the long-term, if the price of oil also goes up, it is likely to dampen overall demand and cause a potential slowdown in trade. This negative effect however tends to be limited given that crude oil has fairly inelastic demand.
According to Gerry Lathrop of Allied, on the non-OPEC side of things, crude oil production in the US has hit a new record production level of 9.7 million barrels per day on average for the week ending November 17th, according to statistics from the US EIA. Similarly, crude oil imports from Venezuela to the Louisiana Offshore Oil Platform (LOOP) for the period of January to November 2017 are around 7 million barrels, which is almost 3 times as much as what we were seeing during the same time frame last year (2.5 million bbls). The main reason for importing so much Venezuelan crude seems to be mainly due to the lack of availability of Saudi Arabian heavy/sour crude resulting from their production cuts. According to US customs data, imports from Saudi are down 45% from 75 million barrels to 42 million barrels for the same 10-month period. This has undoubtedly caused much of the softening in the crude tanker market of late by removing many ton miles from the market.
In any case, it will be interesting to see which direction the market will trend come June of next year, as the tug of war continues between Russia’s stance on lower crude prices and Saudi’s preference for higher prices. We will probably see the price fall somewhere in between these respective price targets during most of 2018, while if prices increases above Saudi’s US$ 60 per barrel, a relatively swift ramp up in US shale oil production should help quickly push things back down. This points to the main risk by both OPEC and Russia, with any further cost efficiencies achieved by US shale producers allowing them to capture a higher market share and even make these production cuts irrelevant to the overall market.
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Monday, 15 January 18
QUEENSLAND SHIPPED 210.8 MT OF COAL IN 2017, DOWN 5% YOY QUEENSLAND RESOURCES COUNCIL
Queensland's coal exports over the 12 months reached 210.8 mt which is down 10 mt or 5 per cent from the previous year’s record of 220.8 ...
Thursday, 11 January 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO TO CHINA COAL ROUNDS FIXING AT AROUND $10K - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
USG rates improved both for backhaul and fronthaul, Ultras from USG to Japan receiving around $26k daily while supras 1-2k less for same ...
Wednesday, 10 January 18
2018: IT IS PROJECTED, THE SHIPBUILDERS WILL DELIVER FOUR HUNDRED FORTY NEW VESSELS IN 2018
Headlines from IMF's 2017 – World Economic Outlook:
January 2017 - “After a lacklustre outturn in 2016, economic activity is p ...
Tuesday, 09 January 18
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL REFERENCE PRICE UP IN JANUARY
COALspot.com: the Indonesian Coal Price Reference ( HBA) rose 1.60 per cent in January 2018, the latest ministerial decree showed.
The benchma ...
Friday, 05 January 18
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT FELL 32.4% PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 10.5 million short tons ...
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Showing 1831 to 1835 news of total 6871 |
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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