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Tuesday, 05 December 17
OIL PRICES HAVE GAINED SOME TRACTION THESE PAST FEW DAYS ON TALKS OF ANOTHER OPEC & RUSSIA PRODUCTION CUT EXTENSION - GERRY LATHROP
 Oil prices have gained some traction these past few days on talks of another OPEC (including non-OPEC Russia) production cut extension.
The current production cut schedule prior to OPECs meeting this past week, was supposed to last until March 2018, however it has come to light that it will now be extended until the end of 2018, in an attempt to prop up prices as many of OPEC’s members continue to feel strain from the low earnings generated by crude oil sales said Gerry Lathrop, Research Analyst at Allied shipping.
Gerry Lathrop further noted, what’s more is that Saudi Arabia, OPEC leading member, has to deal with ARAMCO’s planned IPO in 2018, which could greatly benefit from the higher crude oil prices. At the same time and in order for the Saudi Government to meet their government budget requirements and reduce their reliance on their cash reserves, are looking at a price target of around US$ 60 per barrel. This is contrary to Russia’s stance who would prefer oil prices to remain lower, and apparently would prefer a target of US$ 40 per barrel at the off chance that higher prices cause the US’s shale oil producers to head to the fields again. In addition to this, OPEC members Libya and Nigeria, who were previously exempt from production cuts, have now agreed to also cap production at their 2017 levels.
This of course can have a profound effect on the shipping side, where the mere talks of a production cut has oil traders rushing to their desks to close their next deal. In short, if oil prices start to show a trend of further price gains, oil traders and refiners will rush to book cargoes, so they can price their end products on competitive level and possibly benefit from a better profit margin, increasing demand in the crude market in the very short-term. In the long-term, if the price of oil also goes up, it is likely to dampen overall demand and cause a potential slowdown in trade. This negative effect however tends to be limited given that crude oil has fairly inelastic demand.
According to Gerry Lathrop of Allied, on the non-OPEC side of things, crude oil production in the US has hit a new record production level of 9.7 million barrels per day on average for the week ending November 17th, according to statistics from the US EIA. Similarly, crude oil imports from Venezuela to the Louisiana Offshore Oil Platform (LOOP) for the period of January to November 2017 are around 7 million barrels, which is almost 3 times as much as what we were seeing during the same time frame last year (2.5 million bbls). The main reason for importing so much Venezuelan crude seems to be mainly due to the lack of availability of Saudi Arabian heavy/sour crude resulting from their production cuts. According to US customs data, imports from Saudi are down 45% from 75 million barrels to 42 million barrels for the same 10-month period. This has undoubtedly caused much of the softening in the crude tanker market of late by removing many ton miles from the market.
In any case, it will be interesting to see which direction the market will trend come June of next year, as the tug of war continues between Russia’s stance on lower crude prices and Saudi’s preference for higher prices. We will probably see the price fall somewhere in between these respective price targets during most of 2018, while if prices increases above Saudi’s US$ 60 per barrel, a relatively swift ramp up in US shale oil production should help quickly push things back down. This points to the main risk by both OPEC and Russia, with any further cost efficiencies achieved by US shale producers allowing them to capture a higher market share and even make these production cuts irrelevant to the overall market.
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Friday, 05 January 18
COAL DEMAND TO REMAIN FLAT TO 2022, RESULTING IN A DECADE OF STAGNATION - IEA
Global demand for coal should remain nearly flat between 2017 and 2022, resulting in a decade of stagnation for coal consumption, according to the ...
Thursday, 04 January 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO TO CHINA WERE FIXED AT AROUND $8K DAILY; DOWN AROUND 27% WOW
Supramax
Q1 kicked off with an usual standby with all counterparts waiting for the market to take direction. Further holidays in East-Europe adde ...
Wednesday, 03 January 18
KOMIPO TO BUY 130K TONS OF MIN. 5700 NAR COAL FOR FEB 2018 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 130k Metric Tons of min. 5700 NAR coal to be burnt a ...
Friday, 29 December 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED A$ 1.527 BILLION WORTH OF 12.65 MT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports, and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1527.6 M ...
Friday, 29 December 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY UP FOR THE WEEK ENDING 23 DEC, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.5 million short tons ...
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Showing 1836 to 1840 news of total 6871 |
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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