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Wednesday, 31 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
 In the next episode of the oil market; The market reacts to OPEC’s production cut extension, the US shale oil producers are ruining the cartel’s plan to manipulate the oil price, money managers’ positions reverse and finally, USA versus Iran! Stay tuned to find out more about the intriguing action taking place in the oil market.
Goliath. When the first production cut agreement was agreed by OPEC oil producers last November, WTI crude surged 12% within a trading week noting its biggest gains in 6 years. On the contrary, the agreement during last week’s meeting in Vienna, to extend the cut for another nine months failed to cause a rally in oil prices. Instead, both WTI and the global benchmark Brent slid on the 25th of May signaling not only that the extension was already priced in the commodity’s price but also further pessimism from the investing community. It seems that the mighty cartel will need more than announcements to meet its target price of $60/bbl. But guess who does stand in its way.
David. That’s correct. US shale oil producers have more than doubled their operating rigs from the previous year’s lowest point. Amid the highest production levels since August 2015, inventories hitting record numbers on March 2017 and new technologies that allow for a lower breakeven point in operating expenses, shale producers did not stay idle. But what is probably the best countermeasure that they took lies in the financial markets. Taking advantage of the price rally that occurred from announcements that the cartel traditionally uses to stimulate the market, they hedged their physical positions when the oil price has hit more than $50/bbl, a point assuring them profitability. So effectively, OPEC’s strategy proved somewhat unsuccessful as it helped save the sector it originally tried to eliminate!
Big Short. Another notable player sitting in the oil market’s table is smart money. Money managers’ positions demonstrate a rather bearish picture as bets against oil in both futures and options markets hit record highs. Moreover, consecutive cuts in net-long positions in WTI and Brent holdings, further ascertains that hedge funds are no longer overinvested in the oil market. I know what you are thinking. Rallies in oil price did happen. Well, they sure did; nevertheless, somewhere between behavioral sentiment, purely short-term technical trading and covering of short positions none of these rallies have proved to be a persistent upward trend.
Uncle Sam. Despite Iran’s compliance with the terms of the nuclear deal, possibility that current US government will not proceed to lift sanctions just yet is still hovering around. This way, prices for domestic crude as well as North Sea’s Brent will most probably be boosted. In regards though to the oil-derived shipping market, less production in the Middle-East region may suggest a substitution with Nigerian crude, which results in more ton-miles of transportation as major importers are located in the Far East. However, this reduction in heavier crude production suggests that refineries will produce less fuel oil in favor of higher distillate products potentially affecting this way the trading patterns between the dirty and clean tanker market segments. So, as you may have guessed, the impact that president Trump’s policies will have on trump shipping is not easy to assess.
So, what have we learnt so far? Well, if price stability and sustainable growth of the market is the focus, then OPEC’s best option could be adjusting its strategy instead of expecting global demand to pick up. Otherwise, if its influence is not so strong anymore, maybe -and this is just a thought- it needs to look west for some new allies.
By Konstantinos Kakavitsas
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 05 July 17
TROUBLE SEEMS TO BE LOOMING ONCE MORE IN THE STEEL INDUSTRY - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Trouble seems to be looming once more in the steel industry as US President Trump puts forth his plans for specialist protectionist measures for th ...
Friday, 30 June 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT SLIGHTLY DOWN
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.6 million short tonn ...
Wednesday, 28 June 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
From the beginning of the year until now SnP activity has changed significantly. To put things into perspective, after a fast and furious q1 on the ...
Monday, 26 June 17
PANAMAX/KAMARMAXES HAD A STRONG WEEK WITH RATES RISING IN MOST AREAS OF THE MARKET - BALTICEXCHANGE
Capesize
A dark cloud appeared to have descended over the market for the big ships with rates continuing to slide in all areas. There was a repor ...
Friday, 23 June 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 15.8 MMST; UP 1.8% W/W
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.8 million short tonn ...
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Showing 2016 to 2020 news of total 6871 |
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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