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Wednesday, 10 May 17
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Up until a few weeks ago, demo deals were being concluded at just a fraction below $400/ldt. Last time we saw demo prices around that level was in May 2015. But over the past few weeks, the scene has completely changed. There is an apparent lack of demolition candidates, while demo prices in the Indian subcontinent have lost over $30/ldt on average during the same period. Bangladesh and Pakistan were competing quite strongly offering a small premium over India’s Alang prices. However, the recent heavy decline in local steel plate prices has forced most end buyers to reduce their offering price.
In view of the restocking ahead of the monsoon season in late May –June and the annual budgets in Pakistan and Bangladesh during the same period, we remain to see if rumors of any new duties/taxes will come into effect for the respective domestic ship-recycling sectors, and how such developments will affect scrap buyers appetite.
We have to keep in mind that at the moment only Bangladesh and India can cut gas free and clean for hot works tanker vessels, as after the fatal accidents that took place in Pakistan earlier this year, there is still a total ban on the demolition of all wet units in the country.
Scrap prices are mainly dictated by steel demand and steel prices and these are subsequently affected by iron ore commodity prices. Iron ore prices had climbed from below $60/ton in Oct 2016 to approximately $96/ton in February this year. Since then, the price of the commodity has constantly dropped to settle at low $60/ton levels and at the end of last week when a full-scale retreat took place, with futures in China, Dalian Iron Ore witnessing a limit down on investor concern in regards to demand outlook.
It seems that the deleveraging of China's $4 trillion shadow banking system just accelerated massively as Bank Wealth Product Issuance crashed 15% month-over-month. With stocks and bonds already plunging, commodities joined the decline that came after tightened regulation on macro-prudential assessment and interbank business. According to the China Iron and Steel Association, there is still room for iron ore to decline further amid oversupply with imports and port stockpiles remaining at high levels that further support oversupply.
Over the past months, Capes and Panamaxes freight rates increased significantly by demand for more shipments, together with record steel production in China, and that has helped boost stockpiles at local ports. After peaking at a record 132.5 million tons in March, stockpiles have held near that level, according to Shanghai Steelhome E-Commerce Co.
Since the end of March though the BCI has lost more than 1,100 points and the average earnings quoted by the Baltic Exchange have dropped from $20,650/day to $12,446/day today. Is it time to panic? The reality is that we are still way above the $1,985/day the big bulkers were earning in March 2016, but signs are indicating a slowdown in demand that inevitably always leads to pressure on earnings. As we are all waiting to see how long will this pressure last, all hopes for sustained positive sentiment in the dry bulk market have now been placed on the grains trade that could potentially make up for some of the lost momentum due to the slowdown Capesizes are currently witnessing.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had & ...
Monday, 05 December 16
INDIAN HYDROPOWER PRODUCTION AT LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2012, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to Commodore Research, the first eleven months of this year have seen India’s overall electricity production total approximately 1. ...
Monday, 05 December 16
THE DECEMBER 2016 HBA HITS TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE MAY 2012
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal benchmark price hits to its highest level since May 2012. The government declared benchmark prices for Indo ...
Monday, 05 December 16
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX UP 5.98%; BALTIC CAPE INDEX FELL 2.52% W/W
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rally slightly continues this past week and ending on a s ...
Sunday, 04 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED 11.9% W/E 26 NOV; UP 1.4% Y/Y, EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.2 million short ton ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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