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Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
 A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a forecast –especially when asked to do the first insight of the year. And given the range of variables ahead, let make it a bit harder; let’s take a closer look on the DRY sector which remains at the forefront of volatility and the inherent liquidity of assets creates paradoxical examples faster than we can justify why it happened.
Many were anticipating a sluggish start to the year due to a strong Q4, markets taking a step back as they digest Trump taking over on 20Jan17 and of course the “inevitable seasonal lullaby” caused by the upcoming Chinese New year -28th January. However, activity levels and appetite for new business thus far point to a different direction. Sentiment remains strongly positive and literature around a much healthier 2017 is already stacking up. Negative fleet growth, lower than expected actual orderbook, higher commodity prices, focus on higher infrastructure spending globally and increasing pressure on older tonnage through a tighter regulatory framework are becoming the flavor of the month and it’s becoming impossible to spot even ONE person that believes that 2017 will be similar –let alone worse- than 2016. Yes, sentiment plays a huge role but before talking about a self-fulfilling prophecy have we really sailed away from Scylla and Charybdis?
With Dow Jones, Nasdaq and other indices worldwide trading at historical highs, it is rather worrisome that Bankers observe such procrastination from investors towards new offerings as well as increasing criticism over the production potential of existing stocks. Most pundits believe that the commodity and energy post-election rally to be largely overvalued and we could soon see its flipside. Continuous delays on the Basel III implementation schedule seem to be short-term “wins” for the banking system but, truth be told, access to finance is not going to change until we see the new system being in place.
2016 was a record-setting year in the post-Lehman year in terms of sales transacted as well as asset value appreciations across all sizes but on the contrary demo activity –especially in the second half of 2016- dropped considerably and, god forbid, if deliveries-demolition balance looks as bad as the graph below, then we might reach a new dead-end. If you add to the equation a rising appetite and itchy fingers lining up for newbuilding orders due to low prices and Tier II regulations, it makes for an explosive “cocktail”.
Finally, don’t forget that when it comes to dry bulk Shipping in the new millennium, the determining factor was, is and will be China and they have two important milestones coming up -ahead of the implementation of its newly voted environmental tax law. Firstly, the timeline and extent of adopting to Basel III regulations and secondly, the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will be held in Beijing, China in the autumn of 2017. The new 5-year-plan is the focal point of the Chinese economy and hopefully the trigger event for a truly happy year.
All in all, the industry has certainly found a footing BUT we need to remain rational, stay the course of recovery and manage expectations based on the fundamentals that have brought us to the present.
By George Dermatis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 March 17
WHERE AN AGREEMENT FAILS TO DELIVER - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Watson Farley & Williams acted for MRI Trading AG in a leading case on ‘agreements to agree’ that was fin ...
Thursday, 30 March 17
PANAMAX : ACTIVITY IN THE PANAMAX MARKET HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week we were looking at prolonged activity from ECSA, mostly with grain cargoes to Far East and SE Asia, where Ultras to SE Asia fi ...
Thursday, 30 March 17
THE ROLE OF COAL IN THE ENERGY SUPPLY OF THE EU-28: HANS-WILHELM SCHIFFER
The European Union (EU-28) is one of the largest economies in the world, with a gross domestic product (GDP) of €14,635 billion in 2015. It ha ...
Wednesday, 29 March 17
MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
Shipowners will always look for market signals in order to gauge market perception and decide upon which strategy to follow next. And while owners ...
Monday, 27 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO FIRM WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities ros ...
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Showing 2086 to 2090 news of total 6871 |
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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