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Wednesday, 22 June 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
 Stagnation- With the BDI stuck in the low 600 points for almost a month now, if we had to choose a word to describe the state of the Dry Bulk freight market at the moment, stagnation is the one that pretty much sums it up.
It seems that at this point of time the dry bulk market has found some sort of balance around OPEX levels for all segments, but even in these cases where a small profit margin is achieved, this is usually too insignificant to allow owners to meet the additional obligations arising from the financing cost that burdens most vessels.
The question that naturally arises is what will be this decisive event that will create the momentum to help drag the market outs if this current stagnation and what sorts of levels can it push the market to.
Irrespective of where the market is, the last two quarters of the year are typically stronger due to the boost of trade volumes of a number of dry cargo commodities at this time of the year. This means that we could well see the index nearing 700 points before the end of the year. Saying that, last year comes as a reminder that history doesn't always repeat itself. While bold predictions were made for the end of 2015, the market not only didn’t move upwards but it actually marked historical , up to that point, lows in many cases, which brings us to the negative scenario for this year end.
The prolonged uncertainty caused by long-term stagnation with minimum profits even for vessels without any CAPEX, has been certainly affecting psychology. Even though there has certainly been an improvement when compared to the first quarter of the year, when lay-up talk had heated up, the fact that a ceiling seems to have been reached for now is definitely removing sentiment support to a degree.
The third scenario is for the index to keep moving around the same levels for an even longer period of time, with the opposing market forces cancelling each other out, allowing the BDI to achieve only minimal adjusting movements around current levels.
Depending on which scenario market players believe in most, a different view is being shaped in regards to second-hand market strategy. From the one side the most optimistic players, taking advantage of the very attractive prices that are still close to all-time historical lows, move aggressively, inspecting vessels and choosing their investments strategically. A very distinctive example of players who seem to trust the market’s dynamics, taking a position in favor of an upcoming improvement are names like these of Oldendorff, Laskaridis and Marmaras who have recently acquired larger tonnage vessels. The same tendency can be found in vessels of smaller tonnage as modern Handy’s attract firm interest from perspective buyers. On the other side, many owners choose the opposite strategy selling their vessels or making them available for sale.
It is indisputable that 2016 has so far proven to be a great window for shopping in all dry bulk sizes. The key question is how long this window will remain open for. Even if the BDI further advances during the upcoming months, it is hard to believe that asset values will increase to last year's levels anytime soon, which in turn probably offers additional time to prospective buyers to carefully monitor available market candidates and even adjust their buying strategy.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 28 April 16
PRICES OF POWER-STATION COAL IN INDONESIA IS INCREASING
COALspot.com: Inquiries for Indonesian 4200 - 4400 Kcal/kg GAR thermal coal cargoes from India suddenly increase recent days.
A Jakarta-based ...
Thursday, 28 April 16
KOMIPO TO IMPORT 710K MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL DURING JULY - SEPTEMBER 2016
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 710,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal for its B ...
Thursday, 28 April 16
CAPE: BIT MORE OPTIMISM IN THE MARKET; SUPRAMAX: FORWARD CURVE IS FALLING - FEARNLEYS
Cape
A bit of a slower week. Activity level has dropped, though the rates do still remain firm, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
...
Wednesday, 27 April 16
THE OCEAN SHIPPING EXPERIENCED DRAMATIC VOLATILITY IN THE BEGINNING OF 2016 - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
Shipping’s new (ab)normal
The global economy and ocean shipping experienced dramatic volatility in the beginning of 2016 and as the glob ...
Wednesday, 27 April 16
INDONESIAN COAL MINER KIDECO REPORTED NET PROFIT OF US$138.1 MILLION IN 2015
COALspot.com: Kideco Jaya Agung, one of the Indonesia's leading coal miners has reported net profit of US$138.1 million on revenue of US$1.65 b ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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