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Wednesday, 22 June 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
 Stagnation- With the BDI stuck in the low 600 points for almost a month now, if we had to choose a word to describe the state of the Dry Bulk freight market at the moment, stagnation is the one that pretty much sums it up.
It seems that at this point of time the dry bulk market has found some sort of balance around OPEX levels for all segments, but even in these cases where a small profit margin is achieved, this is usually too insignificant to allow owners to meet the additional obligations arising from the financing cost that burdens most vessels.
The question that naturally arises is what will be this decisive event that will create the momentum to help drag the market outs if this current stagnation and what sorts of levels can it push the market to.
Irrespective of where the market is, the last two quarters of the year are typically stronger due to the boost of trade volumes of a number of dry cargo commodities at this time of the year. This means that we could well see the index nearing 700 points before the end of the year. Saying that, last year comes as a reminder that history doesn't always repeat itself. While bold predictions were made for the end of 2015, the market not only didn’t move upwards but it actually marked historical , up to that point, lows in many cases, which brings us to the negative scenario for this year end.
The prolonged uncertainty caused by long-term stagnation with minimum profits even for vessels without any CAPEX, has been certainly affecting psychology. Even though there has certainly been an improvement when compared to the first quarter of the year, when lay-up talk had heated up, the fact that a ceiling seems to have been reached for now is definitely removing sentiment support to a degree.
The third scenario is for the index to keep moving around the same levels for an even longer period of time, with the opposing market forces cancelling each other out, allowing the BDI to achieve only minimal adjusting movements around current levels.
Depending on which scenario market players believe in most, a different view is being shaped in regards to second-hand market strategy. From the one side the most optimistic players, taking advantage of the very attractive prices that are still close to all-time historical lows, move aggressively, inspecting vessels and choosing their investments strategically. A very distinctive example of players who seem to trust the market’s dynamics, taking a position in favor of an upcoming improvement are names like these of Oldendorff, Laskaridis and Marmaras who have recently acquired larger tonnage vessels. The same tendency can be found in vessels of smaller tonnage as modern Handy’s attract firm interest from perspective buyers. On the other side, many owners choose the opposite strategy selling their vessels or making them available for sale.
It is indisputable that 2016 has so far proven to be a great window for shopping in all dry bulk sizes. The key question is how long this window will remain open for. Even if the BDI further advances during the upcoming months, it is hard to believe that asset values will increase to last year's levels anytime soon, which in turn probably offers additional time to prospective buyers to carefully monitor available market candidates and even adjust their buying strategy.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 19 August 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALLED AN ESTIMATED 421.6 MMST
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 18 August 16
CAPESIZE: AN EXTREMELY VOLATILE LAST WEEK, WHERE THE MAIN DRIVER HAS BEEN THE WEST AUSTRALIA MARKET
Supramax
The week has held up. After the most of the world is back at work there is some optimism again in the market. The Far East volume has in ...
Tuesday, 16 August 16
WEEKLY CS42 COAL INDEX SOARS 14.08% YEAR TO DATE AMID HIGH DEMAND
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 2.37% week over week to averaging $42.84 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Monday, 15 August 16
DRY BULK: 2017 COULD MARK THE START OF LOWER SHIP DELIVERIES HELPING TONNAGE SUPPLY ISSUES IN THE MARKET, SAYS SHIPOWNER - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk owner Pacific Basin, mainly active in the Handysize and Supramax trades appeared optimistic in its analysis of the prospects of the dry bu ...
Monday, 15 August 16
INDONESIAN COAL PRICES RALLYING; COAL OUTPUT REMAINS FLAT
COALspot.com: Global thermal coal prices, including Indonesian coal prices have risen sharply due to jump in imports from China as it curbs domesti ...
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Showing 2316 to 2320 news of total 6871 |
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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