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Thursday, 24 March 16
SEABORNE TRADE: CHECKING UP ON THE TRENDS - CLARKSON RESEARCH
 Following a decline in 2009, seaborne trade grew on average by 4.9% p.a. in 2010-13, reflecting booming import demand in a number of key importing countries and faster than global GDP growth. However, recent shifts in demand trends contributed to slower seaborne trade growth in 2014 (3.2%) and 2015 (2.0%). How has this reflected changes in demand for bulk shipments into major importing countries?
Multiple Problems?
The ratio between global seaborne trade growth and GDP growth (the ‘multiplier’), when considered over a long time period, can be a useful indicator of the impact of drivers in shipping. Following the economic downturn, the ratio averaged 1.3 in 2010-13, partly as strong Chinese GDP growth drove a surge in raw material imports, and globally production was outsourced to regions more distant from demand centres. Since 2014, the ratio has fallen below 1. The drop was most marked in 2015, with the ratio reaching 0.6, as world seaborne trade is estimated to have grown 2.0% and GDP by 3.1%, partly reflecting shifts in import demand. Growth in bulk imports (dry bulk and oil) to the five biggest importing nations in 2015 (see graph) slowed from an average of 5.5% p.a. in 2012-13, to 1.6% p.a. in 2014-15, with cargo totalling 3.7bt, equivalent to 49% of global bulk trade.
Sluggish Demand
Of course, China, the world’s largest importer of bulk cargoes, had been key in supporting the multiplier. The country’s bulk imports, which account for 23% of world seaborne bulk trade, grew on average by 11% p.a. 2010-13. However, the maturing Chinese economy’s shift, diversifying away from heavy industry, led to a stark slowdown in growth in bulk imports. Shipments to China rose 3% in 2014 and remained fairly flat y-o-y in 2015. Seaborne coal imports to the country fell 30% y-o-y to 188mt in 2015, while growth in iron ore imports slowed to 3%, from 15% in 2014. However, some of the loss was offset by robust crude import growth, partly supported by the oil price collapse.
Not Only China
While China is frequently highlighted as a of key driver of slower global trade growth, the expansion in imports into some other major nations was also more sluggish in 2014-15. Japan’s bulk imports, which account for 8% of the world total, grew on average by 3% p.a. in 2012-13, and fell 2% p.a. in 2014-15, to 588mt in 2015. Elsewhere, although expansion in Indian bulk imports has been firm, it is slowing. Growth slowed to 8% in 2015 due to a decline in coal imports.
In contrast, the rate of increase in Korean bulk imports picked up in 2014-15, largely underpinned by firmer growth in dry bulk shipments, although this was not enough to offset the slowdown in other countries. Elsewhere, the rate of decline in US imports eased, with most of the fall in oil imports having already taken place.
So, whilst the maturing Chinese economy has contributed to slower trade growth recently, it has not been the sole driver. Seaborne trade has still grown robustly since the start of 2009, by around 30%. But the world fleet is now 48% larger in GT terms. Surplus capacity today evident in many sectors is a clear reflection of concerted pressure from slower growth in shipments across key importers.
Source: Clarkson Research Services Limited Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 18 November 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.8 MMST, DOWN 0.8%, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 17 November 16
FROTHY THERMAL COAL PRICES POINT TO DOWNSIDE PRESSURES IN 2017 - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says in an Outlook Report that the Asian thermal coal industry will remain under pressure in 2017 due to more-than-adequate capacity ...
Thursday, 17 November 16
CHINA STEEL EXPORTS TO REMAIN HIGH IN 2017, FITCH SAYS
Fitch Ratings expects Chinese steel exports to remain at around 100 million metric tons (Mt) in 2017, due to flat 'apparent' consumption an ...
Wednesday, 16 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Going through a relatively interesting second half of the year so far in the ship repair sector, we are experiencing a volatile climate of differen ...
Tuesday, 15 November 16
CHINA, FOR MANY YEARS NOW HAS SERVED AS A MAJOR GROWTH ENGINE FOR ASIA - ALLIED SHIPPING RESEARCH
It’s been a turbulent couple of days after the announcement of the U.S. Presidential results in the early hours of Wednesday.
After week ...
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Showing 2211 to 2215 news of total 6871 |
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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