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Wednesday, 17 February 16
THE OWNERS FACING HISTORICAL LOW DRY BULK RATES; COAL IMPORTS TO CHINA IS STILL POINTING TO A STRONG TREND OF DECLINING CONSUMPTION
 The sharp fall in dry bulk rates that has been taking place since the end of last year and has left owners facing historical low rates for a substantial period of time, has now everyone wondering; how long can it last and what are those developments that could expedite the recovery.
According to our data for vessels above 20,000dwt, 2016 deliveries amount to 887 vessels, a scary number indeed even if one takes into account expected slippage. On the balancing side is of course demolition activity. A little less than 400 vessels were sent for scrap last year, while in the first six weeks of 2016 alone we count 83 demo sales. If scrapping activity for the rest of the year continues at this pace, demolition activity this year will easily top 2015.
Every single market participant is now anxious to see how rates will behave once the Chinese New Year festivities are over. At the same time, fundamentals for the big bulkers, the trade of which is closely tight to China, remain challenging. Chinese iron ore imports, despite reaching record levels, have been unable to help Capesize rates, while coal imports to the country are still pointing to a strong trend of declining consumption.
Lay-ups, an extreme thought not too long ago, have now become an everyday topic amongst owners. We also observe on a weekly basis that the number of 15yrs old vessels available for sale increases, while their owners are now more at ease with the idea of even selling them for scrap. Asset prices have naturally been plunging. Below are some representative example of the sharp fall.
Capesize
The “Nordtramp” - 170k dwt blt 2001 Koyo, Japan was sold last year at $17.1m, while the “Kohyohsan” - 172k dwt blt 2001 NKK, Japan was sold recently at $5.0m. Moreover, this summer we saw the “Churchill Bulker” - 179k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S. Korea committed in August at $37.0m, eventually failing and being sold three months later at $28.5m, 23% less. Two weeks ago the “Obelix” 180k dwt blt 2011 Imabari, Japan, was reported sold at $23.5m. Since the beginning of 2016, 22 Capesize vessels have been sold for demo, while 21 have been delivered.
Panamax
The “Thalia” - 75k dwt blt 2001 Hitachi, Japan was sold twelve months ago at $9.5m, while last week the “Cymbeline” - 73k dwt blt 2001, Sumitomo, Japan was sold at $3.3m a decrease of about 65%. The “Unity Pride” - 81k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S.Korea was sold at $17.6m back in April 2015. At Christmas we saw the “Archimedes” - 81k dwt blt 2011 Hyundai, S. Korea being sold at $14.5m, failing and coming up for sale once again, with interested parties not willing to offer above $12.0m. Since the beginning of 2016 a number of 33 vessels have been sold for demo, while 30 have been delivered.
It is definitely the “buy low” phase of this cycle. This of course is something that naturally leaves owners striving to survive utterly indifferent at the moment and logically so. But for the more fortunate ones, with cash to support their investment for a reasonable time, the opportunity to renew their fleet is undeniable.
By Giannis Andritsopoulos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FIRM SLIGHTLY LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month over month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's r ...
Friday, 15 January 16
SHIPPING: 2016 STARTED WITH MISERY ACROSS THE BOARD FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As one would have expected, the dry bulk market starter the new year where it left off in 2015, plunging to never seen before depths, as the market ...
Friday, 15 January 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE ACROSS ALL BASINS: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 14 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $5.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards Bay Coal ...
Wednesday, 13 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 109 MMST IN 2015; COAL EXPORTS DECREASED 21% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production declined by 109 million short tons (MMst) (11%) in 2015, the largest decline ever recorded, says EIA.
The 2 ...
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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