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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 16 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On Friday 4th of December the meeting of OPEC was held in Vienna, Austria. Since its last meeting, oil and product stock levels have continued to r ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
THE GOVERNMENT DECLARED THERMAL COAL BENCHMARK PRICE CRASHING ONCE AGAIN
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price down to below 2009 level. HBA has slumped by 1.69% mo ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FIRM W-W; WEAK M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $.13 per ton (0.35%) month over month to US$ 37.07 per ton. The swap w ...
Monday, 14 December 15
5000 GAR CS (I) COAL INDEX DECLINE US$ 0.04 PER TON W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index decline US$ 0.04 per ton (-0.10 %) week over week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated ...
Monday, 14 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP IS STILL SLIDING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 0.93(2.18%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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