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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 16 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On Friday 4th of December the meeting of OPEC was held in Vienna, Austria. Since its last meeting, oil and product stock levels have continued to r ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
THE GOVERNMENT DECLARED THERMAL COAL BENCHMARK PRICE CRASHING ONCE AGAIN
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price down to below 2009 level. HBA has slumped by 1.69% mo ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FIRM W-W; WEAK M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $.13 per ton (0.35%) month over month to US$ 37.07 per ton. The swap w ...
Monday, 14 December 15
5000 GAR CS (I) COAL INDEX DECLINE US$ 0.04 PER TON W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index decline US$ 0.04 per ton (-0.10 %) week over week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated ...
Monday, 14 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP IS STILL SLIDING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 0.93(2.18%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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