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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 23 December 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
As we are heading towards the end of the year we could argue that most of those involved in the shipping industry share mixed feelings for 2015. Th ...
Wednesday, 23 December 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSES FIRM
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery up $0.45 per ton (1.22%) month over month to US$ 37.20 per ton. The swap wa ...
Tuesday, 22 December 15
3800 GAR INDEX CLOSED AT US$ 22.03 PER TON; DOWN 0.15% W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index decline US$ 0.03 per ton (-0.07 %) week over week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated ...
Monday, 21 December 15
Q3' 2016 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARE TO Q1'16 CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery up US$ 0.20 (0.48%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 20 December 15
THE FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI facing all time low's this week. The bulk dry index closed at 477 points on 18 December 2015.
The cape index was als ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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