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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 23 December 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
As we are heading towards the end of the year we could argue that most of those involved in the shipping industry share mixed feelings for 2015. Th ...
Wednesday, 23 December 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSES FIRM
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery up $0.45 per ton (1.22%) month over month to US$ 37.20 per ton. The swap wa ...
Tuesday, 22 December 15
3800 GAR INDEX CLOSED AT US$ 22.03 PER TON; DOWN 0.15% W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index decline US$ 0.03 per ton (-0.07 %) week over week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated ...
Monday, 21 December 15
Q3' 2016 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARE TO Q1'16 CLOSING PRICE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery up US$ 0.20 (0.48%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 20 December 15
THE FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI facing all time low's this week. The bulk dry index closed at 477 points on 18 December 2015.
The cape index was als ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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