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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Thursday, 31 December 15
2016 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP RALLY TO CLOSE AT $37.98/TON
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $1.48 per ton (4.05%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 30 December 15
FINAL DEALS OF THE YEAR TAKING PLACE, AS SHIP OWNERS PREPARE FOR 2016 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The Holidays’ investment lull has taken a grip over the newbuilding and S&P market for second hand vessels, as shipbrokers are reporting ...
Tuesday, 29 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ROSE MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.68 (1.64%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 28 December 15
Q2' 15 U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TOTALED 7.0 MMST; DOWN 16.9% FROM Q1 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production during second quarter 2015 totaled 211.1 million short tons.
According to EIA’s preliminary quarterly ...
Monday, 28 December 15
NOVEMBER NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 11.87%; THE AVERAGE PRICE OF COAL EXPORTS ROSE 1.37%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $1.120 billio ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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