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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Thursday, 31 December 15
2016 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP RALLY TO CLOSE AT $37.98/TON
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $1.48 per ton (4.05%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 30 December 15
FINAL DEALS OF THE YEAR TAKING PLACE, AS SHIP OWNERS PREPARE FOR 2016 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The Holidays’ investment lull has taken a grip over the newbuilding and S&P market for second hand vessels, as shipbrokers are reporting ...
Tuesday, 29 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ROSE MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.68 (1.64%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 28 December 15
Q2' 15 U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TOTALED 7.0 MMST; DOWN 16.9% FROM Q1 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production during second quarter 2015 totaled 211.1 million short tons.
According to EIA’s preliminary quarterly ...
Monday, 28 December 15
NOVEMBER NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 11.87%; THE AVERAGE PRICE OF COAL EXPORTS ROSE 1.37%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $1.120 billio ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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