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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Thursday, 10 December 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL Q3' 16 DELIVERY SWAP WAS CLOSED 7.27% PER TON LOWER COMPARED TO AVERAGE Q1' 16 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 decline month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
Wednesday, 09 December 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINE IN 2015 DUE TO SLOWER GROWTH IN WORLD COAL DEMAND AND LOWER INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES - EIA
COALspot.com: The slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports in 2015 ...
Wednesday, 09 December 15
DRY BULK EXPERIENCES THE PERFECT STORM - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
Dry bulk experiences the perfect storm as the slowing of demand predominantly because of China sat atop the exaggerated oversupply. The BDI broke t ...
Tuesday, 08 December 15
OPEC'S DECISION BODES WELL FOR THE TANKER MARKET: STRONG MIDDLE EAST CRUDE EXPORTS WILL CONTINUE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
OPEC’s latest decision to keep up oil production is seen by shipbrokers as a further boost for the tanker market. At the end of last year OPE ...
Tuesday, 08 December 15
Q1' 16 API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 36.73 A TON; 1.73% HIGHER COMPARED TO Q3' 16 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $1.47 per ton (3.85%) month over month to US$ 36.73 per ton. The swap ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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