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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 11 September 15
U.S'S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION WAS ALMOST FLAT PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.6 million shor ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
U.S. H1' 15 STEAM COAL EXPORTS FELL BY 21 PER CENT Y-Y: EIA
Coal Trade
Slower growth in world coal demand, lower international coal prices, and higher coal output in other coal-exporting countries have all ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE HITS A NEW LOW OF $58.21 PER TON
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia once a again revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price to US$ 58.21 per MT ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
IF NOT NOW, WHEN? - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Our industry is well known to be cyclical with some cycles lasting longer than others. Despite the fact that these shifts in the behavior of the fr ...
Wednesday, 09 September 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOSE GROUND ON SLOWING DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.92 (-4.52%) per t ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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