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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 17 September 15
LOW DEMAND PUSH COAL SWAP DOWN
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and gain week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.77 (-4.17%) ...
Thursday, 17 September 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Having experienced, as it was much anticipated, a poor 1st half combined with negative forecasts, summer, in sharp contrast, proved to be more hope ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
SLOWER GROWTH IN WORLD COAL DEMAND AND LOWER INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES LED A DECLINE IN INDONESIAN COAL PRODUCTION
COALspot.com: Slower growth in world coal demand particularly China and lower international coal prices have led to a decline in Indonesian coal pr ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
HIGHER TAXES COULD LEAD GREEK SHIP OWNERS OUT OF THE COUNTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
A potential taxation overhaul of the shipping industry in Hellas, which could see the loss of particular tax benefits for ship owners, could lead t ...
Tuesday, 15 September 15
Q2'16 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DIP TO $ 51.10 PER TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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