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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 15 September 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR 4Q' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $42.71 PER TON ON 11 SEPT, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined $0.94 per MT (-2.15%) month over month to US$ 42.71 per mt. The sw ...
Monday, 14 September 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED $1.80 PMT M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.62 (3.21 %) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 14 September 15
MOODY'S LOWERS COMMODITY PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON MACRO, INDUSTRY FACTORS
COALspot.com: Moody's Investors Service has lowered its base metal price assumptions for 2015-17 as slowing growth in China, lower oil prices, ...
Sunday, 13 September 15
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI decreased further by 6.51 per cent or 57 points since last Friday and closed at 818 on 11 September 2015 while the cape index ...
Friday, 11 September 15
SHIPPING MARKETS SHOW MIXED EMOTIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has managed to show marginal improvements over the past few days, with the Capesize segment faring better than smaller dry bulk ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
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