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Friday, 28 August 15
DRY BULK SHIP OWNER OPTIMISTIC ABOUT FUTURE PROSPECTS OF THE MARKET: NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk ship owner Golden Ocean appeared optimistic on the long term prospects of the dry bulk market, mainly thanks to an expected resolution of the oversupply problems of the market. The owner added in its second quarter report that the average spot rates so far in the third quarter are higher than the rates in the first half of 2015, which means that the company’s revenues are expected to improve compared to the two previous quarters. Golden Ocean noted that following two very weak quarters, the third quarter started with more optimism, in particular, for the Capesize segment. With a spot market close to $20,000 per day it was questionable whether it was a structurally damaged market balance due to oversupply. “Then a three step devaluation by the Chinese Central Bank and a very nervous Chinese stock market removed all signs of optimism over a fortnight. With falling commodity prices and growing uncertainty in general, activity among dry bulk charterers is low at present. Short term this could be painful for owners of dry bulk assets, but in a longer term perspective the supply side should repair itself faster than previously anticipated”, Golden Ocean said.
In any case, according to the shipowner, the dry bulk spot market in the second quarter of 2015 did not give owners of dry bulk vessels any relief. “Rates ended up more or less at similar levels as in the pervious quarter and with limited volatility. According to the Baltic Exchange, average earnings for the Supramax segment were $6,766 per day compared to $6,434 per day in the previous quarter and $8,982 per day in the same quarter last year. Capesize vessels were again facing the lowest earnings with an average of $4,600 per day against $4,582 per day the previous quarter and $11,901 per day in the same quarter last year. Panamaxes earned on average $5,183 per day compared to $4,815 during the first quarter and $6,304 in the same quarter in 2014″.
FLEET SUPPLY
According to Golden Ocean though, the low utilization of the dry bulk fleet the first six months of the year has been due to demand issues rather than increased supply. “Actual deliveries for the first six months amounted to 110 Handysize vessels, 159 Handymaxes/Supramaxes, 88 Panamaxes/Kamsarmaxes and 57 Capesize vessels. During the first half of 2015 less than 27 mdwt were delivered. Even though the delivery rate picked up slightly during the month of July it is unlikely that the delivery ratio will exceed 65 per cent of the official order book this year. At the same time scrapping prior the monsoon season in June/July was beating most analysts’ expectations. For the entire sector above 10,000dwt, 300 vessels have been scrapped. The net effect of this is that after seven months into the year there is still zero net fleet growth for Handysize and Capesize”, said Golden Ocean.
The ship owner added that “historically, limited number of vessels will be delivered during the fourth quarter and in spite of fewer removals due to a combination of improved spot market and lower scrap prices, net fleet growth in 2015 will most likely end up at less than 3 per cent of additional capacity. In aggregate the total order book to fleet ratio fell below 18 per cent at the end of the second quarter, which marks the lowest level since 2003. Still many analysts believe that the official order book is bigger than reality. The positive trend on the supply side is definitely needed due to softer demand for dry bulk commodities”.
DRY BULK DEMAND
In terms of demand, Golden Ocean said in its report that “we witnessed a slight improvement in total demand in the second quarter of the year compared to the previous slow quarter. Measured in tonne miles demand for dry bulk commodities grew by one per cent compared to first quarter, but still one per cent lower than same quarter last year. Uncertainty and conflicting information from the most important country for dry bulk transportation is still making the headlines. The devaluation of the renminbi by the Chinese Central Bank took many by surprise. It is not expected that this will have a significant impact on import levels. Compared to the average exchange rate in January this year, the currency is trading 4 per cent lower while the average spot price for iron ore is 15 per cent lower than the January average price. Chinese steel consumption (observed) was 4.3 per cent lower in the second quarter compared to the same quarter last year, but increased by 3.5 per cent compared to the previous quarter. Chinese iron ore imports for the first half the year ended at 453 million mt, followed by a strong 86 million mt in July. This is 15 per cent up from previous month and the highest monthly import figure seen in 2015. It is interesting to note that iron ore inventories remain at relatively low levels and almost 30 million mt lower than same time last year. Australia and Brazil continue taking market share from marginal producers and are up 30 million and 10 million tons, respectively, in the first seven months of 2015. New capacity from both countries is expected to be made available in the coming months represented by Roy Hill in Australia and new production from Vale. Coal imports to China continue to be the most negative contributor to dry bulk demand and are 34 per cent lower year-on-year for the first seven months of 2015. July showed a similar uptick in imports as for iron ore and for the last few weeks Chinas southwestern regions received less rain than usual. As a consequence hydro power production in July fell for the first time since October 2013. Given that China imports only six per cent of the coal it consumes, the sensitivity and uncertainty is substantial. Limited new hydro power capacity will be introduced over the next five years. India’s growth in coal imports is steady, but at a slower pace last two months. In the first half of 2015, the country imported 120 million mt which is almost 30 million mt more than the same period previous year”, Golden Ocean noted.
Ship prices
The soft freight market continued to put downward pressure on asset values for all vessel classes during the second quarter. According to industry sources, prices fell by 7.5 percent to 12.5 percent depending on the country of construction. Asset prices have reacted positively so far in third quarter to the improved spot market freight environment and most analysts are of the opinion that the industry has seen the bottom in this cycle”, the shipowner concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 19 July 15
BDI GAINED AND CROSSED 1000 MARK THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI gained and crossed 1000 mark after many months this Friday. The BDI was up almost 20 pct and closed 1048 points on 17 July 20 ...
Saturday, 18 July 15
INTERVIEW : FRANZ ESCALANTE, CHIEF OF INFORMATION SYSTEMS, MINERA CHINALCO, PERU
We are interested in the technology of Autonomous trucks, the new-generation trucks are not remote controlled, they are truly autonomous - Franz Es ...
Friday, 17 July 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. INCREASES SHARPLY FOR THE WEEK ENDING JULY 11
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.4 million short ...
Friday, 17 July 15
INDONESIAN POWER-STATION COAL SWAPS DECLINE CONTINUES THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined $ ...
Friday, 17 July 15
DO CANCELLATION RIGHTS UNDER VOYAGE CHARTERPARTY SURVIVE RE-NOMINATION OF LOAD PORT? - INCE&CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Do cancellation rights under voyage charterparty survive re-nomination of load port?
St Shipping & Transport Inc ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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