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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 14 August 15
CONDITIONS AND COMPLEXITIES IN A TRIPARTITE AGREEMENT: BE SPECIFIC! - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
A tripartite agreement reached between the Owners, the Shippers and the Receivers provided that demurrage be paid to the ...
Thursday, 13 August 15
THE RATES FOR CAPES KEPT RALLYING LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: Strong Capesize performance kept supporting the Dry Bulk market last week, which noted another positive weekly closing, while rates f ...
Thursday, 13 August 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CONTINUE FALLING
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Wednesday, 12 August 15
DRY BULK MARKET: WITHOUT A DOUBT REACHED HEALTHIER LEVEL
A few weeks before the end of the summer season, the BDI is hovering around 1,200 points, providing some much needed optimism to all Dry Bulk marke ...
Wednesday, 12 August 15
REGULATION CURBS POWER OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN MINING SECTOR IN INDONESIA - FLORENCE G. SANTOSO
The Indonesian Government appears to be getting serious about stripping Regents of the authority to issue mining licenses. The Government took the ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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