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Wednesday, 27 May 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
 Earlier in the year I looked at how the market was reacting to the prolonged fall of the price of oil. Back then it was still unclear if the falling prices would influence to a great extend rig utilization but five months down the line it seems that this was indeed the case. This has inevitably reduced capacity and eventually stirred things up a little as far as remaining projects are concerned.
Based on data from the American Oil and Gas Reporter, in the US alone, the onshore rigs suffered a utilization reduction of 51%, which resulted in a massive shutdown of 926 rigs in just 5 months. On the offshore sector and looking at the numbers on a global scale, the utilization capacity decreased by 96 rigs (14%) in 6 months.
So after thousands of jobs and billions of dollars are lost, where do we stand? The barrel price as of last week has reached USD 65 per barrel. Although prices have been rising during the last couple of months, there is still a lot of uncertainty as to where we are heading. Will the price continue to rise as it usually does during the summer because of the seasonal refinery demand, or it will drop back down influenced by a stronger Dollar or by the possibility that capacity is still in excess of demand. There has being a lot of speculation in regards to whether the industry is on its way to a recovery or not. Prices are often known to rise purely on speculation.
The speculation in this case revolves around the fact that the prices now are in some ways favorable and promising enough to start investing – storage projects are a representative example of that. Furthermore, Asian demand increases, with China importing record quantities in April and on top of that the US driving season is near, which as usual increases the demand for fuel. So it seems that the sings for a recovery in the price of oil are there, but it is still too early to speak for a recovery, even a slow one.
Now in relation to the maritime industry there are questions rising in multiple areas, should prices do increase. How will bunker prices adjust? Will the offshore industry rebound? Will tanker rates be affected or not? Bunker prices, have since February risen steadily but they are nowhere close to where they were about a year ago. If oil prices increase but keep moving within a specific range, there is no reason to expect bunker prices to increase a lot more, which is translated to fairly good news especially for the bulk sector.
The offshore industry has suffered a significant blow during the last ten months. FPSO projects were halted and rigs were left unutilized. Nowadays we slowly see a few fixtures materialize, which could be perceived as a sign that maybe better days are ahead. But there is still a long way to go in order to see rigs being fixed to long term employment.
On the other hand, tankers have being enjoying fantastic rates since last year. These rates, which have been on an upward trend for more than a year, were initially driven by the increased cargo demand from emerging and developing countries coupled with manageable fleet sizes in the sector, and eventually boosted by the decline of oil prices. Currently, it seems that even with a further moderate recovery in the price of oil, demand seems to have enough momentum to keep rates at healthy levels thus not really weighing on wet market prospects for the short to medium term.
All in all oil does impact the world trade to a big degree but the straightforward effect of its price performance might not be that straightforward after all.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 May 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT AT 16 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.0 million short ...
Thursday, 21 May 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE ACHIEVED ITS BEST EVER TOTAL COAL EXPORT TURNOVER OF 159 MILLION TONS IN 2014
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $900 million ...
Thursday, 21 May 15
ATLANTIC PANAMAX MARKET STARTED TO IMPROVE SLOWLY - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week on the green last week, purely on the back of improved Capesize performance, while the rest o ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
LOWER PRICES SEEN IN NEWBUILDING MARKET ON LOW DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Cash-rich ship owners, or at least, owners with substantial access to financing will be among the prime candidates, who will reap the benefits of t ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS
Since Early October 2014 the tanker market has been experiencing a very positive momentum and has continued its strong performance so far in 2015. ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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