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Monday, 20 October 14
CHINA'S ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES DO NOT SPELL THE END FOR COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
China's environmental policies do not spell the end for coal Analysis across energy commodities show coal still accounting for 64% of power mix by 2030, while overall gas demand growth in China will be strongest
As details for China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (APPCAP) have evolved through 2014, energy suppliers have raised concerns that the continual re-thinking of targets and goals is creating uncertainty for China's energy and resources demand. In 'A moving target - assessing the impact of China's environmental policies', Wood Mackenzie concludes that within the energy, resources and mining sectors, China's recent environmental policies broadly continue to encourage the expansion of natural gas. More surprisingly however, despite some industry belief that this will result in coal's decline, Wood Mackenzie says coal demand will actually be supported and remain the dominant fuel in China's power mix.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that coal's role in power is likely to decline from 72% to 64% of China's power mix as a result of APPCAP but remains the primary fuel for China. In absolute terms, this translates to coal demand increasing by just over two billion tonnes from now until then. Mr David Brown, Northeast Asia Power Markets Manager, explains, "Tackling chronic air pollution is a clear government priority but not the only one: economic growth, energy security and low cost energy remain paramount. Although initial policy goals focused on expanding the role of gas through demand targets or caps on coal consumption, policy releases throughout 2014 have now evolved to focus on emissions control rather than mass fuel switching to gas."
Northeast Asia Mining and Metals Manager, Mr Rohan Kendall says "The latest APPCAP policies are not aimed at penalising coal, but are a major step towards sustainable policies encouraging clean-coal use. The impact of APPCAP policies will affect the type of coal consumed by coastal power plants and emissions control rather than absolute demand volumes. With a reduced emphasis on switching coal-fired plants to gas for example, utilities will become more prudent in plant operations and coal selection - supporting low-ash and low-sulphur imports".
Even with a reduced emphasis on coal switching to gas, Wood Mackenzie's analysis shows China's environmental policies as broadly positive for gas, despite an expectation of some near-term growing pains as new supplies ramp-up. Gas demand in China will increase from around 207 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2014 to 335 bcm by 2017, with demand from power, transport and the residential/commercial sectors contributing most to the growth near term. Further on from 2020 to 2030, gas demand will see an annualised average growth rate above four-percent, reaching 655 bcm by this time as China becomes with world's second largest gas market after the US.
Beyond power, gas and coal, Wood Mackenzie expects environmental policies will have little impact on demand for petrochemicals, iron ore, steel and metals. Rather, capacity closures will impact these industries more. Capacity that is out-dated, with high emissions and low margins will gradually see shut downs as the government tightens credit, which has been the lifeline of these industries over the last several years. Still, these capacity closures will not have an impact on production with limited impact on raw material demand. The intention is to consolidate fragmented and less efficient operations, not lower output.
Mr Brown concludes, "The way China's environmental policies have evolved already shows that they do not work in isolation but in a more complex fashion, hand-in-hand with conomic goals. The new leadership is focused on formulating integrated policies that balance these objectives. This approach indicates China's evolving environmental policies are not intended to be destructive for energy, mining, and metals but will rather help these industries grow sustainably and efficiently through the long term."
About Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions.
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Wednesday, 22 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed on the red for yet another week although following Friday sentiment has started to improve on the back of ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
INDIA'S DIESEL DEREGULATION POSITIVE FOR OIL COMPANIES - FITCH
The Indian government's 18 October decision to deregulate diesel prices will have a positive effect on the national oil marketing companies tha ...
Tuesday, 21 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUTTING COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q4' 2014 lost on day, week and month.
The swap has lost US$ 1.57 (-3.04%) month on month ...
Monday, 20 October 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FAILED TO PERFORM POSITIVE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 3.04 (-4.57%) month over month and US$ 1.75 (-2.68%) week o ...
Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
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Showing 3416 to 3420 news of total 6871 |
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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