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Thursday, 07 August 14
SHORT-TERM COAL OUTLOOK IMPROVES - SAM QUEST
With demand for and supply of coal to grow in the near future, prices are expected to rebound in the short term; the long-term prospects, however, are bleak
Coal, besides being a cheap source of electricity generation, also serves as a major raw material for various industries, including steel and cement production.
In the US, coal accounts for nearly 40% of total energy needs (based on 2014 year-to-date statistics). As emission standards in the US become more stringent, natural gas and other renewable resources are increasingly replacing coal as an energy alternative. Despite this, coal remains a major source of power generation because it is cheaper than other resources.
Outlook for 2014
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects the country’s coal production to increase 2.7% to 1,011 million short tons (MMst) in 2014, driven largely by higher consumption.
Coal production fell by more than 7% in 2012, compared to 2011, as a result of increased competition from natural gas for power generation. Natural gas prices fell 31% in 2012 to $2.77 per MMBtu from $4.02 per MMBtu in 2011.
Demand for coal is expected to grow 2.8% this year to 951 MMst because of rising demand for electricity and higher natural gas prices. Beginning second-half of 2013, natural gas prices started rising as demand outpaced supply, reaching $5.08 per MMBtu in May 2014.
In 2015, however, the demand for coal is likely to decline 2.8% as Mercury and Air Toxic Standards go into action, leading to retirement of coal power plants. Natural gas prices are expected to fall again next year because of a 1.1% decline in natural gas consumption during the current year, further reducing the demand for coal.
Coal production will continue to see a slight improvement until 2030 as the existing plants reach their maximum utilization rates, after which no new capacity will be added. All in all, the production is expected to rise 0.3% per year from 2013 through 2040, from 20.8 to 22.6 quadrillion Btu.
Coal Prices
Coal prices have followed a declining trend in the past two years in the face of growing supply from major producers looking to cut costs, and shrinking consumer demand because of a slowing Chinese economy. China consumes 60% of the world’s coal and iron ore.
Annual average prices of thermal coal fell from $2.39 per MMBtu in 2011, to $2.35 per MMBtu. Analysts expect global thermal coal prices to stay at low levels until 2016. The EIA, however, expects average delivered coal prices to increase to $2.39 per MMBtu in 2014 and $2.41 per MMBtu in 2015.
Impact on related industries
In the wake of falling coal prices, mining companies have cut capital expenditures to remain profitable.
The decline in prices has also affected mining equipment companies. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), the largest manufacturer of mining equipment, has a bleak outlook for the current year as sales of mining equipment drop. Its second quarter revenues for mining division fell 29% year-over-year (YoY).
Railroad companies, however, saw coal shipments rise for the second quarter as a result of increased demand for utility coal from stockpile replenishment. This was in response to a severe winter and higher natural gas prices, which offset lower export volume. Both Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) and CSX Corporation (CSX) saw coal revenue improvement of 7% and 6.5%, respectively.
Despite a favorable outlook for short-term coal prices, the long-term outlook for coal demand and prices remains bleak.
By: Sam Quest
This article was originally published in Bidness etc
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Wednesday, 09 July 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
The mini-boom in dry bulker values catapulted ship prices too fast too far over the last one-and-a-half year. The concurrence of historically low p ...
Tuesday, 08 July 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALL AGAIN IN JULY; LOST 1.62%
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia again revised down the coal bench mark price in July. HBA for month of J ...
Tuesday, 08 July 14
ENERGY IN THE MIX - INTERMODAL SHIPBROKERS
With the Tanker freight market having showed much promise this year compared to the performance that had been noted during the previous five, it is ...
Monday, 07 July 14
INDONESIA STATE-CONTROLLED COAL MINER BUKIT ASAM TO TRADE COAL ON-LINE THROUGH JFX
COALspot.com: Indonesian state owned coal miner PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) has teamed up with Jakarta Futures Exchange (JFX) to sell ...
Monday, 07 July 14
RBCT, THE WORLD'S SINGLE LARGEST EXPORT COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 31.91 MMT OF COAL IN H1 2014
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the world’s single largest export coal terminal, shipped 31.91 million ton ...
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Showing 3616 to 3620 news of total 6871 |
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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