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Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely available, HFO propelled a long period of robust growth in international shipping, which carries over 90% of intercontinental trade by volume each year. For many, it is the lifeblood of the maritime shipping industry.
But HFO’s low price does not reflect its impacts on the environment and human health. The sulfur content of HFO can be up to 35,000 parts per million. It is the reason that maritime shipping accounts for 8% of global emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2), making the industry an important source for acid rain as well as respiratory diseases. In some populous port cities, such as Hong Kong, shipping is the largest single source of SO2 emissions as well as emissions of particulate matter (PM), which are directly tied to the sulfur content of fuel. By one estimate, PM emissions from maritime shipping led to 87,000 premature deaths worldwide in 2012.
The International Maritime Organization (IMO), the governing body of international shipping, has made a decisive effort to diversify the industry away from HFO into cleaner fuels with less harmful effects on the environment and human health. Effective in 2015, ships operated within the Emission Control Areas (ECAs) covering the Economic Exclusive Zone of North America, the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, and the English Channel will begin to use Marine Gas Oil (MGO) with allowable sulfur content up to 1,000 ppm. Starting from 2020, ships sailing outside ECAs will switch to Marine Diesel Oil (MDO) with permitted sulfur content up to 5,000 ppm.*
That tectonic shift also creates openings for a variety of new fuels. Liquefied nature gas (LNG), newly abundant and relatively affordable, is attracting the attention of many shipping companies. Although the lack of infrastructure and the uncertainty of future prices have slowed the “dash to gas,” many expect LNG to establish itself as one of major alternatives to HFO in the future. Lloyds Registry, a shipping classification society, expects LNG to take 11% of the market share in 2030.
Meanwhile, Stena Teknik, a Swedish company, is testing methanol, another natural gas product, but one that requires less storage space in a ship and is relatively easier to handle. While natural gas-based fuels may sometimes offer questionable climate benefits, due to methane leakage concerns, the IMO’s low-sulfur regulation may create needed openings for other zero-sulfur, low-carbon marine fuels. Tests using fuel cells on the Viking Lady, an offshore supply ship, demonstrated promising results.
Wind kites and solar panels have already been installed on numerous ships to supplement marine diesel engines. Even HFO will not completely disappear from the menu of marine fuels. Combined with scrubbers that capture more than 99% of the sulfur from the exhaust gas, HFO will continue to play an important role. Lloyds Registry reckons that HFO will represent about 40% of fuel use by 2030.
The shift to cleaner but pricier low-sulfur fuels is likely to heighten interest in the “fifth fuel”: energy efficiency. Historically, the maritime shipping industry, where energy often accounts for over half of operating costs, has responded to escalating fuel prices with innovative energy-saving strategies. To cite a recent example: in 2008, as fuel prices went through the roof, shipping lines cut their operating speeds by as much as 50%, helping many companies stay afloat amid one of the worst downturns in history. In an analysis of satellite data on ship operations, we’ve estimated that the industry can further slash 100 million ton of fuel use by 2030 through wider implementation of energy-saving measures that were adopted by industry leaders in 2011.
This is in addition to savings of 90 million tons of fuel because of the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI), a mandatory program that will require new ships to achieve certain efficiency targets beginning in 2015.
The continued diversification of marine fuels and improvements in energy efficiency have important implications. First and foremost, they may alleviate concerns about the availability of low-sulfur fuels. Figure 1 illustrates one possible scenario, using our forecast on future marine fuel consumption and energy efficiency improvements as well as Lloyds Registry’s estimate of market shares for HFO and LNG. The efficiency improvement of the legacy fleet is the greatest force driving down the need for low-sulfur fuels, equivalent to adding about 110 “negatons” of fuel, or almost 24% of projected demand. HFO combined with scrubbers, EEDI, and distillates (MGO plus MDO) are almost neck and neck, each representing about 20% of fuel use in the chart. LNG is coming of age, with its share doubling between 2020 and 2030. Other fuels, such as renewables, fuel cells, and biofuels, are expected to hold only small market shares in 2030.
Second, the new fuels are on a collision course with IMO safety regulations concerning flashpoint, the temperature at which a fuel can vaporize to form an ignitable mixture in air.
The IMO currently requires marine fuels to have a minimum flashpoint of 60°C. But low-sulfur fuels have a lower flashpoint (50° to 55°C), meaning that they are “off-spec” and cannot be used under the IMO rule. The flashpoint requirement, which went into effect in 1976, was meant to provide a large margin of error to ensure the temperature of the engine room (normally below 45°C) does not exceed the flashpoint in any circumstance. But according to industry heavyweights such as Maersk and BIMCO, modern technologies such as advanced ventilation systems provide an adequate safety margin, and they argue that keeping the flashpoint requirement will cause the industry to miss the opportunity represented by the increased availability of low-sulfur, low-flashpoint fuels. Industry and member states such as the U.S. are urging the IMO to accelerate its consideration of an amendment to the flashpoint requirement.
By: Haifeng Wang / The International Council of Clean Transportation
*Implementation of the requirement is subject to a review of fuel availability to be completed by 2016.
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Friday, 05 January 24
BANGLADESH’S 2023 COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT TRIPLED, EASING SHORTAGES - REUTERS
Bangladesh nearly tripled its coal-fired power output in 2023, a Reuters analysis of government data showed, helping it tide over the worst power s ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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