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Tuesday, 15 October 13
CHINA COAL IMPORTS TO KEEP GROWING IN THE YEARS TO COME, ALBEIT AT A SLOWER RATE - EVA TZIMA / NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest monthly report, shipbroker Intermodal highlighted the growing role of coal in the energy mix. According to Intermodal's research analyst, Eva Tzima, "since the beginning of 2013, there has been a lot of debate as for what the future might hold for the trade of coal. The majority of coal production is used to fuel coal-fired power plants in the form also known as thermal coal. Coal, which is today the source that feeds almost 40% of global electricity requirements, has been the fastest growing energy source since the beginning of the 21st century, ac-cording to the International Energy Agency. It’s been mainly on the back of developing economies, like those of China and India that the traded volume of the commodity has witnessed a rapid increase. With China being globally the biggest producer and consumer of thermal coal, the demand for the latter has been inextricably linked with that of economic growth in the world’s second largest econo-my. As the rate of Chinese economic growth has been slowing down, so has the rate of coal consumption, while at the same time, due to its non green nature, the popularity of coal as an energy source has been gathering less and less supporters worldwide", she noted.
Tzima added that "despite the fact that China has been sitting on trillions of tonnes of reserves and therefore local appetite for coal has been historically satisfied onshore, as of the end of 2008 the country’s coal imports have started to increase at a very fast pace. The big beneficiary of this trend was no other than the dry bulkers, as the majority of those imports is realized by seaborne trade. Last year alone the an-nual increase of imported amounts of coal into China touched al-most 60% compared to those of 2011. As we head into the final quarter of 2013 it seems that an even higher figure of imports will be printed, proving that the trend is still strong. A little less than one third of Chinese coal imports is currently being satisfied by Indonesian reserves, while other Pacific region countries like Australia and Vietnam also account for substantial portions".
According to Intermodal's analyst, "the question that naturally comes to mind is why turning to offshore supplies for coal when the commodity is plentiful right there in your court? The answer is simple; Price. The cost of producing and transporting coal domestically has been higher than importing it. But as the country’s imports have continued to rise and its economy has gone into a slower gear, Chinese stockpiles have also increased significantly, fact which in its turn has put significant pressure on local prices. Since January alone, coal prices in China have softened more than 15%. As local prices have been softening a lot of reports have surfaced warning about possible pressure on coal imports going forward. On top of that, the Chinese government, in its effort to pursue more environmental friendly policies, could also weigh down on the future quantity of coal cargoes imported. The energy targets initially set forth by the government, as part of its overall pollution control plan, included both a ceiling on the imported volume and use, as well as a floor on the quality of coal consumed in the coun-try, adding further to the negative sentiment around coal usage altogether", Tzima noted.
"So, will the trade of coal start burning low in the Pacific region? I would think that most probably not. On the one hand the infrastructure modernization needed, should the government keep pushing for lower emissions of CO2, will add on to the cost of Chinese pro-duction. This will be reflected on the price of locally produced coal, restricting the gap between domestic and international prices to narrow down to a point where imports would no longer make economic sense. On top of that, while local coal prices have been softening, the same has happened to coal prices globally and even at a higher degree, so the price incentive for Chinese demand to dis-tant itself from imports doesn’t appear to be there. At the same time what originally started as a very solid plan to cap imported quantities has slowly been revised to a less strict policy, which doesn’t seem as hurtful for imports as it was in its initial form. This revision shows that cheaper energy sources are likely to hold centre stage, as it seems quite possible that the Chinese government would chose to partly sacrifice its “Green” targets for its “Growth” targets. In fact while it has pledged to reduce the country’s coal usage to 65% of its total energy mix, a 2% reduction from what it is today, it hasn’t set a specific amount of coal consumption. This means that under the current plan, the Chinese will still allow for growth in coal consumption should the country’s energy needs continue to rise. But will they do? In my view the fact that the Chinese government has compromised with slower economic growth targets for a longer period of time, in order to ensure the sustainability of that growth, in itself is supportive of firm on-going energy consumption within the country. Following the path of slower but more sustainable growth, energy consumption should be maintained at its current growth levels rather than exhaust itself in the medium term follow-ing strong but short-lived periods of overconsumption.
So despite the fact that King Coal might be facing some opposition, it seems that the Chinese will continue to be supportive of both imports and consumption of the commodity. And unless dramatic action is taken by their government, imports should keep increasing in the next years. This will almost certainly be an increase at a slower rate, but an increase nevertheless, as cheaper options of the commodity will be still made available through seaborne trade in the Asia-Pacific region, allowing for coal to keep burning hotter for a longer period than what some might chose to think...", Tzima concluded
Research Analyst - Eva Tzima
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 20 November 13
PANAMAX MARKET RESUMED ITS NEGATIVE MOVEMENT FOR A SECOND WEEK IN A ROW - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The recovery noted the week prior in the dry Bulk market proved to be short-lived, as the BDI slipped back down to the low 1,500 point ...
Wednesday, 20 November 13
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT 0.825 MMT OF 5000 GAR COAL FOR Q2' 14
COALspot.com: Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 825,000 metric tons of general sub-bituminous coal with calorific value not lesser than 5,000 ...
Wednesday, 20 November 13
CAPES AND PANAMAXES SOFTENING; SMALLER SIZE SEGMENTS FIRMING FURTHER - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Stable- )
The BDI has closed off the week on the red, with rates for Capes and Panamaxes softening and those fo ...
Tuesday, 19 November 13
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT'S DECLARED COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP 1.98% IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has increased government declared coal bench mark price by US$ 1.52 / MT ...
Tuesday, 19 November 13
WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FROM NEWCASTLE PORT INCREASED BY 20.59%
COALspot.com: In the week ended November 18, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totaled 2.92& ...
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Showing 4001 to 4005 news of total 6871 |
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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