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Wednesday, 12 December 12
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES TO RANGE BETWEEN $9,000 - 16,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted yesterday, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the following six weeks at around $9,000 – 16,000. "Panamax is expected to be found in the USD 6,000-10,000 per day interval. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates to remain in the USD 7,000-9,500 per day interval, whereas Handysize rates are forecast to stay at the interval of USD 6,000-9,000 per day" the shipping organization said.
In its outlook on the dry bulk market, BIMCO's report noted that "the effect on asset prices stemming from the large inflow of new tonnage is felt across the board by all owners. Lately, the pressure on second-hand values has been so severe that the correlation with newbuilding prices is off. What once was a rather strong early indicator (correlation above 90%) of where newbuilding prices were heading, is now derailed, as Clarkson’s Bulkcarrier Secondhand Prices Index is exposing a price change of -29% as compared to the end of November last year. During the same period, the Bulkcarrier Newbuilding Price index is down by no more than 8%. Clearly, the erosion of vessel values is causing problems for ship owners and for the providers of finance. Balance sheet assets and liabilities are stretched at length, which puts even more strength in a positive and fairly predictable strong cash-flow to back the business. Q4 has brought about some optimism, with the BDI now at 1,022 driven primarily by strong Capesize demand. Leaving a disastrous 2012 behind, a stronger 2013 is most likely in the making, but don’t expect a lightning strike" the report said.
Meanwhile, in the supply side of things, BIMCO's Chief Shipping Analyst, Peter Sand said that "following an immensely hectic delivery pace during the first two quarters of the year at 30 and 33.5 million DWT respectively, things were back at “normal” in the 3rd quarter at 20.34 million DWT. Now, as we know the year-to-date numbers at the end of November coming in at 92.3 million DWT, the slowdown is considerable and happening across the board and not exclusively in China. Out of 1,118 dry bulk carriers launched so far in 2012, 579 have been delivered from Chinese shipyards (51%). Despite the recent slowdown, deliveries are forecast to go higher towards the end of the year, bringing the deliveries tally beyond the 100 million DWT mark for the second year in a row. Going forward, 2013 deliveries are “front end loaded”, with 52% in the first six months and 32% in the final six months, leaving 16% without a fixed delivery month.
The demolition of commercially obsolete tonnage has reached 517 vessels of 31 million DWT. This has positively reduced the active fleet, which nonetheless has grown by 9.8% since the turn of the year. In respect of demolition, 2012 has been just as good as the freight market has been bad. Despite disruptions at major demolition sites, the total demolition yard capacity has proved sufficiently large. India, followed by Bangladesh, took the lion’s share in that market" Sand noted.
opportunities as higher gas production, followed by lower gas prices, turned the tables in the domestic US market. The production of gas, including shale gas, has stayed high and prices low in 2012, opening up for strong US coal exports in 2012. Ninety-eight million tons of coal was exported during the first nine months of 2012, making annual exports head for an all-time high, surpassing the highs of 1981.
Will this venture stay strong? It’s unlikely, if you ask the US Energy Information Agency, who predict US coal exports will decline in 2013 but remain above 100 million tons for the third straight year.
The case is this: as long as US coal exports go to Europe as a substitute for Australian exports, the lower ton/-mile represents a bad bargain for shipping. But if US exports are heading for the Asian markets, it may become a positive story for the dry bulk market" BIMCO noted.
the US and relatively high in Europe, leaving demand for thermal coal low in US domestic markets but higher in Europe, as coal is the preferred fossil fuel for electricity generation in Europe. Finally, a supply disruption in a major export country may increase US exports. The steel sector, and thus also the Capesize sector, has enjoyed some tail-wind in recent months from China’s proactive approach to seeking higher growth. The September stimulus package immediately affected iron ore prices and Chinese imports positively. As Indian exports to China experienced new lows in Aug./Sept./Oct., the imports had to come from Brazil (longer distance as compared to Indian exports) or Australia (shorter distance). Strong Brazilian exports meant that the dry bulk market saw a solid upside from this surge in demand.
US wheat exports in 2012 have been weak all year. Export volumes during the “peak season” months of August and September were particularly disappointing. The shortfall of an accumulated 23% of the total wheat exports as compared to same period last year highlights the fact that many owners experienced a fierce fight for too few cargoes.
Russia’s Agriculture Ministry now expects the drought to cause a drop in harvesting this year as high as 25% compared to the 2011 harvest. Russia, a huge exporter of mainly wheat, said total grain exports were down by 17% compared to last season. The shortfall in seaborne grain exports from both the US and Russia has further and negatively impacted the shipping markets" BIMCO's report concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 13 December 12
HANDY : WCI-CHINA RATES AROUND $ 6000 AND ECI-CHINA AROUND $ 4000 - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Atlantic market remained unchanged. Rates from USG to Feast were around USD 18k and Black Sea to Feast about USD 10k. USG-Skaw-Passero rates ...
Wednesday, 12 December 12
69.23 PERCENT OF END-USERS ARE BELIEVE, COAL PRICES ARE IN UPWARD TREND
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal reference price for December’ 12 has gained US cents 31 per MT M-o- ...
Tuesday, 11 December 12
NEWCASTLE PORT IN AUSTRALIA HAS LOADED 2,720,205 MT OF COAL W/E 10 DECEMBER 2012
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,720,205 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 10 December 2012, Newc ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
COAL SWAPS HAVE LOST DIRECTION DUE TO LACK OF ASIAN INTEREST
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 2.43 percent M-M but lost WoW by 0.54 percent and 0.62 ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
LOW DEMAND PUSHES CHARTER RATES TOWARDS DOWN - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market has softened and BDI, The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for dry bulk goods, plunged below 10 ...
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Showing 4466 to 4470 news of total 6871 |
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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