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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 13 December 11
CAPESIZES AND PANAMAXES LEAD DRY BULK MARKET HIGHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched closer to the 2,000 mark on Monday, with Panamaxes rebounding firmly and leading the gains. As a result, the industry&rsq ...
Monday, 12 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR BALANCE AS WE ENTER 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
During the past few months, freight rates for dry bulk carriers, especially Capesizes have increased significantly, providing ship owners with a muc ...
Sunday, 11 December 11
THE PANAMAX INDEX ENDED ON POSITIVE DIRECTION - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI and Cape index continued the upward trend this week also with BDI up by 3.00 pct closing at 1,922 points and Cape index up by ...
Saturday, 10 December 11
MAHAKAM RIVER RESUMES COAL TRANSPORTATION
COALspot.com - East Kalimantan local government has resumed limited coal barging through Mahakam River after two weeks of suspension following the c ...
Friday, 09 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET REBOUNDS ON HEALTHIER DEMAND OUTLOOK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market edged forward yesterday, at the highest rate of the past couple of weeks, as a result of stonger iron ore demand, backed by lowe ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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