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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 08 December 11
INDIA MAY SEE 41% ANNUAL GROWTH OF ITS COAL DEMAND DURING THE NEXT 5 YEARS - ICAP SHIPPING
India’s Ministry of Coal expects that India’s coal demand may face an annual 41% rise during the next 5 years, while its coal deficit is ...
Thursday, 08 December 11
HAREDA KRIDA GETS CONTRACT FROM BAYAN - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN), through its subsidiary dubbed PT Gunungbayan Pratamacoal (GPB), has signed ...
Thursday, 08 December 11
CAPESIZES LIFT DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize vessels yesterday helped lift the dry bulk market which had been falling since the start of the week on lower cargo demand. As a result the ...
Wednesday, 07 December 11
ABM INVESTAMA EYES RP6.3 TRIO REVENUE - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, an energy integrated company PT ABM Investama Tbk is eyeing a 1.5 folds increase in revenue this year from Rp4. ...
Tuesday, 06 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENDS RALLY, STARTS WEEK WITH FALL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
After a series of increases which saw the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increasing close to 1,900 points and rates o ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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