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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 19 December 11
PLN WILL NO LONGER BUY COAL FROM TRADERS
COALspot.com - Indonesia's state electricity company PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara will no longer allow traders to become their suppliers, said, its ...
Saturday, 17 December 11
THE FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO HAVE ALMOST BOTTOMED OUT AND MAY REMAIN STEADY AT THESE LEVELS CAPT REDDY
COALspot.com - The BDI and Cape index closed lower this week with BDI closing at 1,888 points (down by 1.76 pct) and Cape index at 3,572 points (dow ...
Friday, 16 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSES TRACK ON CAPESIZE LOSSES, SHIP FINANCING REMAINS TROUBLESOME - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn’t manage to sustain earlier gains, losing track yesterday, on reduced Capesize demand and persisting troubles in smal ...
Thursday, 15 December 11
BERAU SEES INDIA AS POTENTIAL MARKET FOR LOW-CALORIE COAL - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Publicly listed coal mining company PT Berau Coal Energy (BRAU), the fifth largest coal producer in Indonesia, sees ...
Thursday, 15 December 11
PANAMAX HARDLY AFFECTED BY THE RECENT FIRMER TENDENCY FOR THE BIG SISTERS - FEARNBULK
Handy
The rates are more or less the same as last week. Continent/US Gulf fixing at tick below USD 10k and Gulf/Continent levels at USD 25k. Trips ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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