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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 28 July 12
CAL 2013 COAL SWAPS ARE HIGHER COMPARED TO SEPT 2012 PRICES
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 0.47 percent on Friday (27 July 2012) closing DoD but lost 0.90 ...
Friday, 27 July 12
PACIFIC MARKET REMAINED FLAT - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market continued its downward trend from last week with what appears to be a summer lull across the board. A trip from the USG t ...
Wednesday, 25 July 12
BUKIT ASAMS H1 REVENUE JUMPED BY 13 PERCENT
COALspot.com - PT Bukit Asam (Persero), Tbk., the state owned coal miner's revenue in H1 2012, has jumped 13 percent to IDR 5.79 trillion (approxim ...
Wednesday, 25 July 12
BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS SECURED PINJAM PAKAI FOR ITS ZINC AND LEAD PROJECT
COALspot.com - PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk. ("BRMS" or "the Company") today reported that its 80% owned subsidiary, PT Dairi ...
Tuesday, 24 July 12
SHIP OWNERS WAITING FOR SHIP PRICES TO FALL FURTHER BEFORE MOVING IN MORE AGGRESSIVELY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the summer season already well under way and many ship owners getting ready for the autumn, the sale & purchasing activity of second hand v ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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